Event Results

Unrated Mixed Foil

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Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 2:00 PM Richmond Fencing Club · Richmond, VA, USA

31 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	KAST Quinn J.	V V V V	V V V V V	2.4	4	+1.6
2	TETTERTON Jr Joseph S.	D V V V V V	V V V V D	3.7	5	+1.3
3	SHANKS Aidan T.	V D V V V	V V V D	2.6	4	+1.4
3	ZANGA Kaitlyn	V V V V V	V V D	3.6	5	+1.4
5	LARSON Winston	V V V V V	V V D	2.8	5	+2.2
6	ISAACSON Bjorn	D V V V	V D	2.9	3	+0.1
7	BAILEY Julia S.	V V V V D	V V D	3.5	4	+0.5
8	MOELLER Virginia	D D V V V D	V V D	2.9	3	+0.1
9	LAU-ALLEN Macy	V V V V V V	V D	4.4	6	+1.6
10	WATTS Jason	D V V V V	V D	2.8	4	+1.2
11	HARTMAN Grayson	V D D V V	V D	3.3	3	-0.3
12	TOLENTINO SR. Francis	D V V V D	V D	3.5	3	-0.5
13	UHRICH Reese	V V V D D	V D	1.6	3	+1.4
14	ALLEN Lily	D V D V V	V D	2.5	3	+0.5
15	CRUM Elayne	V D D V D V	V D	2.8	3	+0.2
16	KOKE Kristen	V D D D	V D	1.6	1	-0.6
17	BIELEWICZ Nicholas	D D V V V	D	1.6	3	+1.4
18	SHANKS Jennifer	D V D D V	D	1.9	2	+0.1
19	MORRIS Luke	D D V D	D	1.8	1	-0.8
20	WATERMAN Andie	V V D D D	D	0.9	2	+1.1
21	FOX Aiden	V D V D D D	D	2.8	2	-0.8
22	TREADWAY Ella	D V D D D V	D	2.6	2	-0.6
23	KRONAUGE Andersen	V D D D D	D	3.6	1	-2.6
23	DOLLINGS Taryn	D D V D D	D	1.2	1	-0.2
25	WEINLAND Baxter	V D D D D	D	3.0	1	-2.0
26	ECCLES Jade	D D D D V	D	2.6	1	-1.6
27	RUZEK Marshall Missing ID			0.0	0	-
28	FISCHMAN Margaret	V D D D	D	1.4	1	-0.4
29	HARSHAW Wyatt	D D D D D	D	2.2	0	-2.2
30	FORREST John	D D D D D	D	1.7	0	-1.7
31	BAILEY Linwood	D D D D D D	D	1.9	0	-1.9

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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