October NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Friday, October 29, 2021 at 1:30 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
2 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
5 RIZZI Andrea 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
6 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
7 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
8 HSIEH Kaylin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
9 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
10 VERRET Alexanne 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
11 CHORNIY Kateryna 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
12 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
13 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
14 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
15 KIM Zoe L. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
16 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
17 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
18 BOTVINNIK Yana 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
19 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
20 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
21 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
22 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
23 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
24 KOLLAR Kincso 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
25 GAVRIELKO Nikol 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 2%
26 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
27 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
28 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
29 BEI Karen 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
30 LIPTHAY Hanna 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 2%
31 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
32 REID Sobia 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
33 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
34 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
35 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
36 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
37 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
38 LOMBARD Ella 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
39 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
39 ZHU Chenxi (Heidi) 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
41 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
42 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
43 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 98% 78% 38% 8% -
44 ROSS Naomi O. 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7%
45 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
46 HILL Gabrielle (Gabby) M. 100% 94% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
47 DORVAL Anne-Marie 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
47 LEONARD Ariane 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
49 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
50 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
51 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
52 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
53 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 1% -
54 WANG Karen 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
55 HU Grace 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
56 WEISS Talia L. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
57 ZHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
58 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
58 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
60 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
61 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
62 KALE Anika A. 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% -
63 SUN Renee R. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
64 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
65 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
66 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
67 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 38% 9%
68 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
68 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
70 PARK Yoohyun (Sarah) 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
71 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
72 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
73 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
74 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
75 MAO Amy 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
76 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
77 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
78 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 97% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
79 GU Sarah 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
80 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
81 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
82 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
83 NGUYEN Kira 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
83 LUO Ashley 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 6% -
85 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
85 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
87 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
88 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
88 REID Anousheh 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
90 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
91 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
92 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
93 NING Emma 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
94 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
95 LIN Waiyuk 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
96 TYLER Syd 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
97 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
98 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
99 DESAI Meera P. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
99 LEE Olive 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
101 WANG Nora 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
102 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
103 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 79% 41% 13% 3% - -
104 WU Fan 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
104 CHEN Lefu 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
106 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
107 JURADO Daniela 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
108 BOTNER Olivia 100% 90% 38% 8% 1% - -
109 CAMPOS ESQUIVEL Andrea 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
110 SMUK Daria A. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
111 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
112 BOUDREAU Justine 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
113 AHUJA Arianna 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
114 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
115 ZENG Katrina 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
116 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 93% 63% 26% 5% - -
117 YU Nicole J. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
118 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
119 LONADIER Keira 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
120 WU Amelia 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
121 KIM Jayna 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
122 NEMETH Katherine 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
123 LI Alisha 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
124 LEE Yedda 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
125 LEUNG Natalie 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
126 SHEN Stephanie 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
126 FENG ge 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
128 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
129 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
130 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
131 LORD Sarah-Eve 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
132 RUEDA Rylie 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
133 TAO Olivia A. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
134 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 24% 2% - - - -
135 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 10% 1%
136 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
137 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
138 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
139 GAO Judy 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
140 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
140 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
140 CALDERARO Margherita 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
143 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 5%
144 BROWN Hannah 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
145 FELAND Alexandra 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
146 MCLANE Lauren 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
146 MING Cynthia 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
148 PEELER Julia 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
149 RUSSELL Renata 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
150 SLACKMAN Valerie 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
151 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.