October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, October 30, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 ELSISSY Ziad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
3 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
3 FERJANI fares 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
5 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
6 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
7 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
8 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
9 MORRILL William 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
10 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
11 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
12 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
13 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
14 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
15 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
16 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
17 SHACHANIN Searhei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
18 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
19 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 5%
20 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
21 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 8%
22 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
23 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 6%
24 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
25 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 10%
25 CHAN Matthew 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
27 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
28 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
29 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
30 XU William 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
31 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
32 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9%
33 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
34 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
35 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
36 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
37 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 25%
38 FERJANI Ahmed 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
39 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 98% 86% 52% 14% 1%
40 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
41 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
42 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
43 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8%
44 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
45 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
46 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
47 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11% 1%
48 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
49 YANG Ziyi 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
50 SWARTZ Roscoe O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
51 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
52 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
52 PAN Jerry 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 2%
54 JEAN Noe T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
55 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
56 FOTIYEV Alan R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
57 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
58 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
59 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
60 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
61 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
62 WANG Eric Y. 100% 96% 70% 29% 5% -
63 YEN Darren 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 11%
64 DIACOS Jordan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
65 NIL Michael Y. 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
66 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
67 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
68 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
69 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
70 NOBLE Daniel 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
71 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
72 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
73 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
74 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 8%
75 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
76 CHON Taylor A. 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
77 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
78 HO Kaden M. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
79 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
80 MICHELL Bailey 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3%
81 WILSON Jude 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
82 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
82 HAST Kern R. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
84 RAI Avin 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
85 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
86 BARBER William S. 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
87 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% - -
88 WOODWARD Connor 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% - -
89 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
90 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
91 MORRILL Justin 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
92 MCPHEDRAN Spencer 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
93 YUN Jaesun 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
94 SCHERER Max 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
95 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
96 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
97 LE Hayden 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3% -
98 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
99 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
100 JIANG Anthony 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
101 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
101 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
103 DU Gavin J. 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
104 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
105 SO Hananiah 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
106 LIN John A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16% 1%
107 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
108 BERMAN Luca 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
109 YUN Jake 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
109 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
109 BEITEL Noah 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
112 REN Richard 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
113 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
114 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
115 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
116 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
117 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
118 KOTOV Leonid 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
119 TONG ZACHARY 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
120 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
121 GUZZO Vito 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
122 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
123 TANN Justin 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
124 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
125 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
126 HOLZ William A. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
127 REYES Xavier M. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
128 LIU kelly 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
129 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
130 BEAM David E. 100% 73% 30% 6% - - -
131 BERGER Oliver 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
132 BULL Anderson 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
133 ROBERTS Sam 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
134 VO Minh Q. 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
134 WONG Ryan 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
136 POPE Nico 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2% -
137 COLE Alexander 100% 80% 41% 11% 1% - -
138 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
139 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
140 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
141 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
142 ZHANG Derek 100% 59% 19% 3% - -
143 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
144 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
145 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
145 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
147 MURZYN III CJ 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
148 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
149 CHEN Leo 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
150 WESLER Logan A. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
151 HUANG Zekai 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
152 MARGULIES William 100% 79% 32% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.