October NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, October 31, 2021 at 2:00 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 37%
3 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
5 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
6 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
7 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
8 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
9 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
10 WU Mengke 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
11 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
12 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
13 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
14 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
15 POPE Nico 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
16 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
17 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
18 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
19 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
20 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
21 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
22 XU William 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
23 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
24 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
25 TANN Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
26 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
27 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 24% 3%
28 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
29 HONG Steven 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
30 CHEN Leo 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
31 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
32 PENG Bryan 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
33 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
34 MICLAUS Justin 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
35 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 1%
36 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
37 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 11% 1%
37 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
37 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
40 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
41 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
42 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
42 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
42 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
45 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
46 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
47 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
48 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
49 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 7%
49 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
51 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
52 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
53 LE Hayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
54 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 10%
54 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
56 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
57 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 96% 69% 27% 4% -
58 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
59 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
60 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
61 OH Triton 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% -
62 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
63 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7%
64 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
65 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
66 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
67 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
68 SINGH Angadh 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
69 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
70 SHOMAN Noah 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
71 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 9%
72 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
73 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5%
73 GUZZO Vito 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
75 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
76 BULL Anderson 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
77 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
78 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
79 WANG Robert 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
80 GAO Albert 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
81 KROON Lucas 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
82 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
83 LIM William J. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
84 PAN Alex 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
85 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 97% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
86 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
87 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
87 VO Minh Q. 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
89 LEE Justin 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
90 HU Christopher 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
91 BONSELL Vance 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
92 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
93 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
94 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
95 WANG Charles 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
96 ZHU Charlie 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
97 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
98 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
99 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
100 WU Wilmund 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
101 CHEN Evan P. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
101 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
103 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
104 COLE Alexander 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
105 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
106 BEITEL Noah 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
107 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
108 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
109 HUANG Connor 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
109 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
111 MAY Griffin M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
112 KUMAR Sachit 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
113 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5%
114 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
115 RHEE Ethan N. 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
115 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
117 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
118 FERNANDEZ Liam 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
119 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
120 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
121 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
122 ROBINSON William 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
123 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
124 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
125 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
126 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 54% 11% 1% - -
127 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
128 REN James 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
129 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 89% 52% 16% 3% - -
129 LO Konnor 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
129 WONG Ryan 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
132 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 82% 30% 5% - - -
133 DEKA Tanush 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
134 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
135 GUAN Luke 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
136 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
137 SU Landon 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
138 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
139 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
140 ROSS Erik 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
141 SCHERER Max 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
142 BEAULAC Stephane 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
143 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
144 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
145 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
146 VAUGHN Jason 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
147 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
148 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 85% 26% 3% - - -
149 YANG Dylan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
150 HAN Edward 100% 97% 70% 28% 6% - -
151 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
152 LU Caleb Q. 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
153 RAMANAN Govind 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
154 BROU Inkosi 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 1%
155 ZHOU James Y. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
156 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 80% 43% 13% 2% - -
157 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
158 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% - -
158 DAI Gary 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
160 LAM Ethan 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
161 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 80% 36% 9% 1% - -
162 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
163 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
164 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 87% 49% 15% 3% - -
165 CHEN Lohen 100% 95% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
166 WANG Andy 100% 96% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
167 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
167 WU Richard 100% 100% 90% 52% 14% 2% -
167 GUO Thomas 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
170 LIN Steve 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
171 DUDNICK Christian 100% 77% 27% 4% - -
172 CHOW William T. 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
173 JORGESON Charlie 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
174 BOSITA Carson 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
174 JESSE Mathew 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
176 WRUBEL Natan G. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
176 AN David 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
176 LUHMAN Gabriel 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
179 LEUNG Nathan 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
179 PILLAI Jay K. 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
179 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 24% 2% - - - -
182 HUNG Samuel 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
183 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
183 WILKERSON Jude 100% 37% 4% - - - -
185 STOLL Fuller 100% 5% - - - -
186 LEVY Jacob 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
187 LIGH Checed 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
188 ZHANG Yankun 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
189 WANG HongXi 100% 28% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.