The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

October NAC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Monday, November 1, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 32%
3 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
5 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
6 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
7 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
8 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
9 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
10 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
11 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
12 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 39%
13 ZHENG Julie 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
14 COOPER Piper W. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
15 FUNG Vera 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
16 WANG Zoie Z. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
17 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
18 SONG Yuqiao A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 3%
19 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
20 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
21 NAIR Supriya 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
22 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
23 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
23 HOBSON Ava 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
25 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
26 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
27 YANG Iris 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
28 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
29 CALISE Ella 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
30 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
31 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
32 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 94% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
33 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
34 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
35 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
36 VO Bao-Vy 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
37 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
38 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
39 DAVIES Ellie 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
40 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
41 ROY Layla 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
41 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
43 PENG Serena 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
44 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
45 LEVY Avery 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
46 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
47 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
48 HOANG Mai 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
49 MI Aileen 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4% -
50 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
50 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
52 SHIM Grace 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
53 LI Sophia M. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
54 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
55 BRANDON Fionnoula 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
56 CUI Amy 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
57 WANG Alison 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
58 HOANG Anh 100% 94% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
59 YAO Ada 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
60 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 1%
61 KIM Rachel 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
62 LAI Sophia 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
63 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
64 MU Allison 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
65 LUH Mia P. 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
66 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
67 ZHANG Selena 100% 97% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
68 HU Felice 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9% 1%
69 ZHUANG Christina 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
70 BAWA Sahana 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
71 HAN Ashley 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
72 WANG Celine S. 100% 97% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
73 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
73 KO Claire 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
75 YAN Noelle 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
76 EVELAND Zoe 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
77 ZHENG Zoe 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
77 WANG Sophia 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
79 GARCIA Ivanna C. 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
80 BROWN Lily 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
81 YU Jane 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
82 HOOSTRA Lucy 100% 21% 2% - - - -
83 PARA Akshaya 100% 20% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.