Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 12:30 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
2 FENG Grace 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
3 CASCONE Sophie 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
3 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
5 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 99% 83% 38% 6%
6 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
7 WANG Amabel 100% 99% 91% 53% 13% 1%
8 FEDER Acadia 100% 89% 35% 6% - -
9 VISCO Valentina 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
10 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 3%
11 NEWMAN-GILLIGAN Callahan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
12 BOWERS Lucy 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
13 LIN Yunong 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
14 LLOYD Bianca 100% 100% 96% 70% 21% 1%
15 ZHANG Caroline 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
16 LI savannah 100% 25% 2% - - -
17 BAULIN Zoya 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
18 LIU Jenna 100% 77% 31% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.