Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC Reg Opens 3/26

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, April 23, 2021 at 10:00 AM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Results

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Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome^*		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	JIN Owen	D V V V D V	V V V V	4.8	4	-0.8
2	POZOVSKIY Mitchell R.	V V V D V V	V V D	2.8	5	+2.2
3	NIXON Christian A.	V D V V D V	V V D	4.4	4	-0.4
3	ZHAO corey	V V V V V D	V V D	3.4	5	+1.6
5	TUMIBAY Noah C.	V D V V V V	D	3.6	5	+1.4
6	LEHR William D.	D V V D V V	V D	4.5	4	-0.5
7	MISHIMA Torata	V V D D V D	V D	2.9	3	+0.1
8	HA Daniel	D D D V D D	V D	2.4	1	-1.4
9	GROOM Layne	V D D V V V	D	4.6	4	-0.6
10	SCHMIDKE Ryan	D V V D D V	D	1.2	3	+1.8
11	PAHLAVI Kamran	V V D D D D	D	2.1	2	-0.1
12	LONGSTREET Jeffrey	D D D D V D	D	1.6	1	-0.6
13	O'BRIEN Timothy S.	D D V D D D	D	2.2	1	-1.2
14	FINLAYSON Stanley	D D D D D D	D	1.3	0	-1.3

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color	Opponent's Difficulty	Probability of victory
	Very Hard	0% to 20%
	Hard	20% to 40%
	Roughly even	40% to 60%
	Easy	60% to 80%
	Very Easy	80% to 100%

Explanation

This visual map of the competition helps to understand:

How difficult or easy everyone's pool and the direct elimination path was
How well each fencer performed according to expectations relative to their strength level

Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.