Thrust Fall ROC - Div 1A/Div 2 - plus Non-Regional Junior/Cadet

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, December 8, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 12%
2 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
3 WOODS Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
3 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
5 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
6 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
7 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
8 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
9 YANG Adam 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
10 MEMANI Apurva 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
11 ZHOU Timmy 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
12 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
13 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
14 MA Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
15 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1%
16 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
17 YU Vinni 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
17 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
19 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
20 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 15%
21 SINGH Dayaal 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
22 CHO Justin Y. 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
23 FLANAGAN James 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
24 BATRAK Alexander 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
25 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
26 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
27 MARSHALL Ian 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 2%
28 SWADDIPONG Diego P. 100% 92% 54% 18% 3% - -
29 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 84% 44% 10% 1% - -
30 JOSEPH Willem 100% 97% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
31 LIN Richard W. 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4%
32 WU Albert 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
33 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
34 HEALY Griffen 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
35 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
36 GU Jeffrey 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
37 MANGE Andrew E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
38 LIU Kevin B. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
39 EHRLICH Noah 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1%
40 MANGE Nathan 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% -
41 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5%
42 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 3%
43 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
44 WANG Michael 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
45 BOBROW Logan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
46 ABDELAZIZ Hisham A. 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
47 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
48 HO Ryan J. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
49 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
50 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 99% 85% 40% 8% 1% -
51 MEYERS Lee P. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
52 TSAI Philip W. 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
54 DING Jonathan 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
55 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% -
56 CARMAN Ian K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
57 SHA Yi Peng 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
58 LIU Eric P. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
59 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
60 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
61 TSAI Max W. 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
62 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 85% 41% 6% - - -
63 ZHAO Jesse 100% 39% 6% - - - -
64 SCILEPPI Jonathan 100% 75% 31% 5% - - -
65 CAPUTO John 100% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.