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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	CHO Rebecca H.	-	-	-	6%	33%	60%
2	LIU Jaelyn A.	-	-	1%	12%	42%	45%
3	SEO IRENE Y.	-	1%	5%	23%	44%	27%
3	GOOR Viviene E.	-	-	1%	12%	46%	42%
5	TAN Kaitlyn N.	-	-	-	6%	38%	55%
6	AMR HOSSNY Sara	-	-	3%	25%	52%	19%
7	NISSINOFF Alexandra	-	1%	10%	39%	40%	11%
8	CHEN Renee	1%	8%	28%	42%	20%	2%
9	CHOW Annabelle	-	-	7%	48%	38%	8%
10	ORVANANOS Anice	-	-	1%	12%	43%	43%
11	JIANG Claire	5%	28%	41%	22%	4%	-
12	CASCONE Emily	-	1%	9%	37%	42%	12%
13	MI Aileen	-	2%	13%	38%	39%	8%
14	LIU Angel(Daying)	-	-	1%	22%	51%	25%
15	LEE Lavender	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	20%
16	ZHENG Julie	-	3%	20%	49%	24%	3%
17	SHA Yi Ling	-	-	5%	25%	48%	21%
18	YURKOVA Mariia	9%	32%	37%	18%	4%	-
19	ZHOU Sophia	12%	38%	35%	12%	2%	-
20	WANG Jasmine	3%	18%	37%	31%	10%	1%
21	DAI Zizhuo (Zizi)	6%	35%	51%	8%	-	-
22	KAPRAN Anastasia	5%	28%	42%	21%	4%	-
23	PAULUS Sloane	4%	27%	42%	23%	4%	-
24	YANG Emma	15%	42%	35%	8%	1%	-
25	SHIM Grace	11%	38%	40%	11%	1%	-
26	LI Beryl	43%	45%	11%	-	-	-
27	YANG Iris	3%	18%	37%	31%	10%	1%
28	CHOW Tessa	2%	16%	38%	34%	10%	1%
29	BADLANI Diya	21%	45%	29%	5%	-	-
30	SHENG Katherine	36%	43%	18%	3%	-	-
31	SHEN Emilia	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-
32	WANG Sabrina	25%	46%	25%	4%	-	-
33	FENG Grace	27%	46%	23%	3%	-	-
34	PEVZNER Nicole	25%	47%	24%	3%	-	-
35	FEDER Acadia	27%	53%	19%	1%	-	-
36	CANO Sofia	49%	38%	11%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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