Boston Fencing Club SYC Reg Opens 3/1

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 28, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GAJJALA Sharika R.	-	-	-	1%	10%	39%	51%
2	RANDLEMAN Teresa	-	1%	8%	31%	44%	16%
3	NGUYEN Kira	-	-	2%	14%	43%	42%
3	LUO Ashley	-	-	-	1%	9%	36%	54%
5	AZMEH Nour	-	1%	7%	26%	41%	22%	3%
6	HAFEEZ Hania	-	-	2%	14%	37%	38%	9%
7	FURMAN Maria	-	5%	19%	36%	31%	10%
8	ZIGALO Elizabeth	-	-	1%	9%	38%	52%
9	BENZAN India	8%	30%	36%	20%	5%	-
10	MUELLER Emma M.	-	3%	16%	34%	34%	12%
11	RAKHOVSKI Alexandra	-	1%	6%	22%	38%	28%	5%
12	SPRINGER Sierra	13%	35%	35%	15%	2%	-
12	CANNING Charlotte	2%	20%	41%	29%	7%	1%
14	HAFEEZ Hiba	-	1%	10%	32%	43%	13%
15	WITTER Catherine A.	-	2%	13%	32%	36%	16%	2%
15	FENG ge	1%	11%	32%	36%	16%	3%	-
17	CAFASSO Natalya	9%	31%	37%	19%	3%	-
18	SHIV Avni	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
19	CHISHOLM Phoebe C.	1%	9%	32%	39%	16%	2%
20	PRIHODKO Nina	4%	20%	37%	29%	10%	1%
21	YOU Isabel B.	10%	32%	37%	18%	3%	-
22	SMUK Alexandra S.	5%	22%	37%	26%	9%	1%	-
23	NGUYEN Ashley L.	3%	21%	39%	28%	8%	1%	-
24	HOOPER Lucy	24%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
25	BURCHETT Victoria	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
26	DEPOMMIER Isabelle	7%	35%	39%	16%	2%	-
27	HOAGLAND Sally	55%	36%	8%	1%	-	-	-
28	TYTELL Elizabeth	7%	27%	36%	22%	6%	1%	-
29	SHU Youshan	7%	26%	38%	23%	5%	-
30	RICHARDSON Meredith	59%	34%	7%	-	-	-
31	NIX Reagan	4%	27%	40%	23%	5%	-	-
32	MONOVA Lilyana	29%	42%	23%	6%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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