Thrust Fall ROC - Div 1A/Div 2 - plus Non-Regional Junior/Cadet

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, December 8, 2018 at 3:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
3 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
3 MURTHY Mukund 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
5 WYCHE Scott H. 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
6 LASORSA Matthew 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
7 GUZMAN Rafael (RJ) J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
8 SPRANG Nicholas D. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
9 CACERES Hernan 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
10 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
11 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
12 YEN Preston 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
13 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
14 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
15 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
16 HUAYTA James W. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
17 KAHN Justin M. 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
18 REYES Kyle 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
19 GAVIOLA Ben 100% 92% 58% 21% 3% -
20 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
21 CHAN Daniel 100% 100% 90% 53% 14% 1%
22 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
23 ZHOU Miles 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
24 MELIS Gabriele Nathan 100% 40% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.