June NAC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 1:15 PM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
3 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 4%
5 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
6 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
7 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
8 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
9 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
10 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
11 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
12 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
13 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
14 KER Grace 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 1%
15 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
16 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
17 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
17 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
19 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
20 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
21 LU Amy 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
22 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
23 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
24 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
25 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
26 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
27 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
28 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
29 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 94% 60% 18% 2%
30 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
31 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
32 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
33 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
33 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
35 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
36 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 97% 73% 29% 4%
37 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
38 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 7%
39 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
40 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
41 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
42 HOLMES Emma 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
43 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
44 XI Shining 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
45 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 99% 86% 45% 12% 2% -
46 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
47 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
48 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 97% 74% 31% 5%
49 DANK Dina 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
50 CHEN Xinyan 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
51 HURST Kennedy 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
52 REN Xinling 100% 86% 44% 12% 1% -
53 JUNG Irene 100% 99% 87% 46% 11% 1%
54 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
55 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
56 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
57 BILILIES Sophia 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
57 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
59 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
60 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
61 GHAYALOD reya 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
62 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
63 WU Erica L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
64 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
65 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
66 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
67 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
68 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
69 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 18% 2%
70 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 94% 63% 21% 2%
71 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
72 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 96% 75% 36% 7% -
73 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
74 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
75 SHI Cathleen 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
75 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
77 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
78 GRAFF Sophie 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
79 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
80 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
81 PAL Anjali G. 100% 98% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
82 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
83 CHANG Audrey 100% 89% 44% 10% 1% -
84 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
84 LU Elaine 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
86 LIN Selena 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
87 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
88 KIM Marley I. 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% -
89 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
90 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
91 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
92 YUAN Greta 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% 1%
93 MARYASH Samantha 100% 95% 63% 18% 2% - -
94 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
95 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
96 WEI Vivian W. 100% 97% 74% 29% 5% -
96 WANG Jianning 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
98 NAYAK Esha 100% 42% 7% - - -
98 FAN Grace 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
100 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
101 NEIBART Fiona 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
102 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
102 HUANG MADELINE 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
104 HAMILTON Ciera 100% 45% 7% - - -
104 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
106 TODD Phoebe 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
107 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 70% 15% 1% - -
108 TONG Jessie 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
109 TUNG Renee 100% 89% 40% 8% 1% - -
110 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 96% 54% 15% 2% - -
111 LIU Grace 100% 28% 3% - - - -
112 KHAN Alissa 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
113 YEN Natalie 100% 71% 25% 5% - - -
114 ALTIRS Kate 100% 88% 43% 8% 1% - -
115 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
116 BAWA Anahat 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
117 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
117 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 71% 19% 2% - -
117 DAI Olivia 100% 81% 28% 4% - -
117 YANG Lea 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
117 FANG sophie 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
122 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
122 CHEN Athena 100% 45% 8% - - - -
124 LIN Sarah 100% 47% 6% - - -
125 ALANGAD Rhea 100% 33% 4% - - - -
126 NEELEY Leilani 100% 15% 1% - - - -
127 NAYAK Anika 100% 74% 28% 5% 1% - -
127 CHIN Elise 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
129 MORAN Rhea 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.