June NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Sunday, June 6, 2021 at 1:30 PM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARVEY Eleanor 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 3%
2 CATANTAN Samantha Kyle 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
3 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
5 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
6 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
7 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
8 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
9 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
10 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
11 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
11 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
13 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
13 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
15 HO Brianna W. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
16 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
17 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
18 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
19 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
20 OH Erin H. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
21 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
22 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
23 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
24 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6% -
25 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
26 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
27 JING Emily 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
28 REN Olivia Y. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
29 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
30 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
31 HE Fenghuan 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
32 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
33 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 17%
34 RYAN Kelleigh E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
35 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
36 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
36 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 6%
38 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
39 MARINELLI Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
40 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
41 LEE Alina 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
42 KIM Katherine 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
43 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
44 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
45 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
46 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
47 LI Meilin 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
48 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 5%
49 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
50 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
51 GONG Christina S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7% -
52 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 3%
53 SHEN Lydia 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
54 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
55 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
56 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
57 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
58 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
59 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
60 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 12% 1%
61 LI Rachel Y. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
62 LEE Paulina 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
63 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
64 CHO Taylor S. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
65 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
66 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
67 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
68 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
69 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
70 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
71 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
72 HALL Velma 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
73 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 32%
74 JANG Kimberley 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
75 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
76 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
77 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
78 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
79 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
79 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
81 EYER Hailey M. 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
82 HUNT Tarleton Q. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
83 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
84 TOLBERT Zoe 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
84 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
86 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
87 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9% 1%
88 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
89 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
90 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
91 LIN Ashley 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
92 LEE Bethany W. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
93 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
94 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
95 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
96 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
97 LEE Ariana 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
98 LEVIN Eve A. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
98 BATRA Chaahat 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
100 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
100 JO Mia C. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
100 XUE Alanna L. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
103 WU Julianna Y. 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
104 CHO Cameron S. 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
105 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
106 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
107 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
108 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
109 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
110 KONG Olivia 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
111 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
112 YU Lauren C. 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
113 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
114 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
115 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
116 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
117 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
118 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
119 LOCKE Savannah 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
120 CHO Gracie L. 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
120 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
122 SENIC Adeline 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
123 SEAL Julie T. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
123 RENTON Samantha 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
125 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
126 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
127 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
128 HECKMANN Emma 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
129 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
130 FERNANDES Thea 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
131 PERLMAN Talia 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
132 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
133 YE Eileen 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
134 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
135 SULEIMAN Alysa J. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
136 ATLURI Srija 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
137 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
138 CHEN Allison V. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
139 DUAN Konnie 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
140 HENNIG-TRESTMAN Bonnie L. 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
141 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
142 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
143 HUANG NATALIE 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
144 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
144 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.