June NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, June 6, 2021 at 1:45 PM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 HURLEY Courtney L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 97% 76% 29% 4%
5 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
8 WINES Victoria R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
9 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
9 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 19%
11 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
12 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
13 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
14 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
15 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
16 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
17 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
18 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
19 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 23% 2%
20 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
21 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
22 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5%
23 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
24 WU Amelia 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
25 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
26 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
27 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
27 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
29 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
30 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
31 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
32 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
33 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
34 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
35 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
36 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
37 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 11%
38 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
39 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
40 SMITH Grace L. 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
41 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 8%
42 CHOI Lyla 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
43 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
44 NGUYEN Kira 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
45 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
46 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
47 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
48 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7% -
49 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
50 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
50 CHOI Eunice 100% 93% 59% 17% 2% -
52 GU Sarah 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
53 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
54 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 5%
55 CONSTANTINO Lola 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
56 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
57 NING Emma 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
58 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
59 RUEDA Rylie 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
60 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
61 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
62 CHEN Lefu 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
63 STEWART Tatijana I. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 18%
64 BEI Karen 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
65 NI Emma 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 2%
66 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
67 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
68 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
69 HU Grace 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
70 JAMES Josephine 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
71 DESAI Meera P. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
72 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
73 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
74 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
75 CHU Audrey 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
76 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
76 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
76 MAO Amy 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
79 BENATER Lauren 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
80 LU Junyao 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% -
81 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
82 LUO Ashley 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
83 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
84 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
85 GAO Judy 100% 85% 41% 8% 1% -
86 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
87 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
88 LEE kyungmin 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
89 COBERT Helen G. 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
90 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
91 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19%
92 SHEN Stephanie 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
93 KETKAR Mallika 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
94 ANGEN Katie R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 15%
95 KIM Zoe L. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
95 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
97 WEBER Nora 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
98 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
99 WEISS Talia L. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
100 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
101 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
102 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
103 AHUJA Arianna 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
104 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
105 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 30% 5%
106 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
107 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
108 MESCHIA Maggie 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
109 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
110 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
111 LIU Christina A. 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1%
112 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
113 KORKIN Alice 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
114 LIN Elaine 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
115 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 98% 87% 62% 30% 8% 1%
116 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
116 CHENG Ava 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
118 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
119 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
120 SCHULTZ Michelle M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
121 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
122 ELSTON Sophia 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
123 GITHENS Gracyn J. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
124 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
125 CAREY Michele S. 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
125 SAAL Anna 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
127 ASHER Valerie 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
128 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
129 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
130 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
131 ZAFFT Sharrie A. 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
132 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
133 SLACKMAN Valerie 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
134 HESS Heidi J. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
135 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
136 LONG Cindy 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
136 MING Cynthia 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
138 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
138 KIM Erika S. 100% 58% 15% 1% - -
140 REID Anousheh 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.