June NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, June 7, 2021 at 8:45 AM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
2 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
3 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
5 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
6 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
7 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
8 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
9 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
10 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
11 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
12 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
13 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
14 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
15 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
16 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
17 AVAKIAN Mikaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
18 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
19 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 3%
20 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% 1%
21 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
22 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
23 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
24 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
25 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
26 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 18% 2%
27 BROWN Emma 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
28 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 8%
29 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
30 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
31 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
32 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
33 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
34 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
35 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
36 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
37 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
38 XI Shining 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
39 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
40 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
41 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
42 DANK Dina 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
43 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
44 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
45 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
46 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
47 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
48 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
49 GHAYALOD reya 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
50 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
51 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
52 YUN Maya 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
53 CHANG Emily 100% 99% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
54 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
55 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
56 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
57 WEINBERG Alexandra L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
58 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
59 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
60 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 99% 93% 64% 19% 2%
61 LI Victoria J. 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
62 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
63 KER Grace 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
64 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
65 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
66 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
67 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
68 MARSEE Samantha 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
69 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
70 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
71 HURST Kennedy 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
72 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 9%
73 HOLMES Emma 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% - -
74 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 88% 53% 16% 2%
75 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
76 MOYA Keona L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
77 JUNG Irene 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
78 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
79 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
80 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
81 LU Amy 100% 100% 95% 63% 22% 3% -
82 NEIBART Fiona 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
83 WU Erica L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
84 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
85 LU Elaine 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
86 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
87 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
88 NI Sharon 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
89 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 69% 26% 5% - -
90 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 98% 65% 24% 4% - -
91 SINHA Anika 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
91 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
93 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
94 GORMLEY Arwen E. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
95 BILILIES Sophia 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
96 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
97 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
98 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
99 LIU Rachel 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
99 SHI Cathleen 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
101 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
101 YANG Lea 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
103 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
104 TODD Phoebe 100% 84% 43% 9% 1% -
105 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
106 CHIN Elise 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
107 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
108 LIU Sophie 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
109 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
110 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 96% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
111 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
111 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 78% 32% 6% - - -
113 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
114 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 96% 75% 37% 11% 2% -
115 GRAFF Sophie 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
116 HUANG MADELINE 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% - -
117 HASSANEIN Toqa 100% 99% 71% 29% 5% -
118 HONE Katarina G. 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
119 LEE Hannah 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
120 CHEN Xinyan 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
121 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
122 YANG Ashley M. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
123 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
124 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
125 DHAR Aamina 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
126 WEI Vivian W. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
127 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
127 FANG sophie 100% 39% 6% - - - -
129 ALANGAD Rhea 100% 27% 2% - - - -
130 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 95% 57% 18% 3% - -
131 MORAN Rhea 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
132 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
133 CHANG Audrey 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
134 WANG Jianning 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
135 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
135 ALTIRS Kate 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
137 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 89% 46% 13% 2% - -
137 TONG Jessie 100% 84% 21% 2% - - -
139 TUNG Renee 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
140 LIGH Karis 100% 24% 2% - - - -
141 LIN Selena 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
142 CHEN Athena 100% 10% - - - -
143 HORMEL Molly 100% 11% - - - - -
144 NEELEY Leilani 100% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.