2021 Inaugural AAU National HS Fencing Tournament

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 28, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Rosen Shingle Creek Hotel - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 LANGENDERFER Braeden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 36% 13% 2%
2 PINERO Jose 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 63% 32% 8%
3 DINKINS Shuayb 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 68% 41% 16% 3%
3 PROVATAS Eustratios 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 45% 20% 5% 1%
5 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 47% 15%
6 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 44% 19% 5% 1% -
7 VALES Keyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 40% 17% 4% -
8 PIRIOU William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 52% 28% 11% 3% - -
9 BRETON Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 33% 13% 3% 1% -
10 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 52% 26% 9% 2% - - -
11 RENLUND Lars 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 47% 23% 8% 2% - - -
12 BUTLER Garett 100% 100% 97% 85% 62% 35% 14% 4% 1% - - - -
13 DEES Reed 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 28% 10% 2% - -
14 LOYD Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 51% 26% 9% 2% - - -
15 RENLUND Hans 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 47% 23% 8% 2% - - - -
16 LARSON Matthew 100% 98% 88% 64% 35% 13% 4% 1% - - - - -
17 LAING Christopher 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 35% 15% 4% 1% - - -
18 CUNANAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 24% 9% 2% - - - -
19 STEWART Justin 100% 96% 77% 46% 19% 5% 1% - - - - - -
20 CUNANAN Enzo 100% 83% 47% 17% 4% 1% - - - - - - -
21 MILLER Jonathan 100% 98% 84% 56% 27% 9% 2% - - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.