3rd Annual Socal Clash RYC and RJC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	-	-	2%	25%	73%
2	LEE REGINA	-	-	3%	20%	45%	32%
3	KIM Zoe L.	-	-	-	2%	15%	42%	40%
3	BEZUGLAYA Varvara	-	-	3%	17%	39%	32%	8%
5	NGUYEN Tallulah	-	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
6	BARBARA Camille	-	-	2%	11%	33%	40%	14%
7	LEE Natasha	-	-	5%	29%	54%	11%
8	MUN Brianna K.	-	5%	23%	38%	27%	6%
9	KIM Jayna	-	1%	12%	34%	39%	14%
10	NGUYEN Jolie T.	-	-	4%	24%	47%	24%
11	BUSH emma	-	-	3%	20%	46%	31%
12	LEE Olivia	-	-	7%	31%	45%	17%
13	ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika	-	-	2%	14%	43%	42%
14	WANG Ziqi	-	6%	26%	40%	24%	5%
15	BARNOW Sasha	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	24%
16	PHUKAN Indra	1%	11%	35%	36%	14%	2%
17	SHARMA Sanvi	-	-	2%	10%	32%	40%	15%
18	HUANG Lanlan	-	4%	22%	40%	27%	6%
19	XU Katelyn	-	3%	23%	44%	26%	4%
20	GUO Luxi	2%	22%	45%	25%	5%	-
21	HSIU Elizabeth	2%	12%	33%	36%	15%	2%	-
22	MANDAP Svetlanna	1%	8%	27%	36%	21%	5%	-
23	KAUSHISH Sara	1%	7%	30%	46%	15%	1%
24	HASIM Eurietta	1%	13%	44%	33%	8%	1%
25	LEE Camilla	-	4%	22%	43%	26%	5%
26	GITI Aria	17%	53%	26%	4%	-	-
27	CHANG Abigail	27%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-	-
28	BROWN Riley	10%	35%	37%	15%	2%	-	-
29	MOHEBI Neeka	31%	45%	21%	3%	-	-
30	WANG Sara	49%	41%	10%	1%	-	-
31	YIN Gabriela	1%	8%	26%	37%	22%	5%	-
32	WANG Jessie	5%	41%	38%	13%	2%	-
33	MENZ Luella	2%	13%	32%	33%	16%	3%	-
34	KWON Genevie	15%	41%	35%	9%	1%	-
35	BLANCO Ariia	2%	18%	38%	31%	11%	1%
36	LEE Megan	13%	36%	34%	14%	3%	-	-
37	LIN Ariel	8%	30%	37%	19%	4%	-	-
38	YOUSSEF Caroline	71%	26%	3%	-	-	-
39	WANG Victoria	12%	39%	38%	11%	1%	-
40	JAMES Ashley	72%	25%	3%	-	-	-
41	CHIRASHNYA Mika	5%	46%	39%	10%	1%	-
42	KANE Chloe	5%	25%	40%	25%	5%	-
43	JIANG Xinchen	61%	34%	5%	-	-	-
44	STAUSS Isabelle	8%	28%	37%	21%	6%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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