Event Results
Thrust Fall ROC - Div 1A/Div 2 - plus Non-Regional Junior/CadetSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LEVIN Mark A. | D V D V V | V V V V | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 2 | CHAN Matthew | D V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 3 | EPSTEIN Henry N. | V V V D V | V V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 3 | LIU Vincent S. | V V V D V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 5 | MURTHY Mukund | V V D V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 6 | LUO ZiRui | V D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 7 | LUKASHENKO Darii | V V V V D D | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 8 | BOURGHOL Matthew | D V V V D | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 9 | FLOT Tai A. | V D V D V V | D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 10 | SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. | V D V V V D | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 11 | WOLFE-MCGUIRE George T. | V V V D D | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 12 | GOLD Jackson | V D D V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 13 | KING Jason | D V D V V D | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 14 | DA GRACA Aidan | V D D D D | V D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| 15 | HONG Vincent Q. | D D D V D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 16 | DRUZHININ Daniel | D D D D D V | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 17 | GRYCIUK Koby | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 18 | SANDERS Samuel B. | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 19 | HAN Daniel Y. | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |