Pirate Day Open at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 9:00 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOTNER Olivia 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
2 MCNICHOLAS Evan 100% 100% 96% 67% 21%
3 WANG Albert 100% 98% 80% 42% 9%
3 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 7%
5 DOUGLAS Marsh 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
6 GRIMSLEY Devin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
7 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 10%
8 MANAUGH Guy 100% 96% 59% 15% 1% -
9 CRONIN Darragh 100% 99% 82% 43% 10%
10 MENNE Chris 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
11 RUSCONI Jane 100% 94% 66% 24% 1%
12 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 99% 75% 32% 6% -
13 BUTLER Joel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
14 DEMANGONE Reed 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
15 WYMAN Jacob 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
16 AGUILAR Nicolas 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
18 DARNELL Connor 100% 54% 13% 1% -
19 BETTRIDGE Jessica 100% 23% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.