Pirate Day Open at NKFA

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 12:00 PM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 35%
2 AYUSH Shah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 100% 96% 70% 25%
3 JONES Elijah 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
5 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
6 GRIMSLEY Devin 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
7 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
8 HAYMAN John 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
9 WANG Albert 100% 88% 52% 16% 2%
10 MCNICHOLAS Evan 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
11 WESTCOTT Nathaniel M. 100% 97% 76% 37% 8%
11 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
13 KRISTIANSEN Phillip 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 2%
14 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 84% 44% 11% 1%
15 DOUGLAS Marsh 100% 86% 48% 14% 2%
16 BOTNER Olivia 100% 95% 66% 23% 2%
17 CRONIN Darragh 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1%
18 MENNE Chris 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% -
19 DEMANGONE Reed 100% 49% 11% 1% -
20 CHURA Annika 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% -
21 MANAUGH Guy 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
22 BUTLER Joel 100% 98% 25% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.