Manchen Friday Night "U" Foil

Unrated Men's Foil

Friday, April 30, 2021 at 6:15 PM

Manchen Academy of Fencing - Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 LIGOS Alex 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
2 MUSAJI Asgar 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
3 ELWELL Benjamin 100% 89% 46% 10% 1%
3 POPE Alexander 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
5 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
6 PATEL Kapil 100% 94% 62% 17% 1%
7 GOPALAN Anish 100% 88% 51% 15% 2%
8 CONTALDI Jared 100% 93% 56% 16% 1%
9 ZHAO Raymond 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
10 MURPHY Damian 100% 87% 48% 12% 1%
11 RODGERS Noah 100% 97% 73% 31% 4%
12 ELWELL Daniel 100% 99% 86% 46% 10%
13 CLAWSON James 100% 54% 14% 2% -
14 TOMLINSON Clayton 100% 72% 29% 6% -
15 ROSS Jacob 100% 92% 55% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.