South Coast RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, November 20, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Visitors Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	-	-	-	6%	32%	62%
2	PENG Amber L.	-	-	6%	25%	45%	24%
3	KOROL Neta	-	-	-	6%	24%	43%	27%
3	GOOR Viviene E.	-	1%	13%	40%	37%	9%
5	CHEN Chloe I.	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	16%
6	TALWALKAR Apoorva	-	-	3%	19%	46%	32%
7	CHEW Alexis T.	-	-	5%	23%	39%	27%	6%
8	LUO Sandra J.	-	1%	9%	31%	37%	19%	3%
9	LIU Joy Zhaoyi	-	-	5%	24%	43%	28%
10	CUI Amy	-	1%	7%	26%	39%	23%	3%
11	PANT Anisha	-	1%	11%	38%	40%	11%
12	KOROL Dana	-	-	5%	27%	46%	22%
13	PATTERSON Natalia	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-
14	LEE Ji Ahn	-	2%	28%	45%	22%	3%
15	LOCKE Savannah	-	-	1%	14%	43%	42%
16	CHANG Elizabeth	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	17%
17	RANDOLPH Piper	-	-	3%	19%	46%	32%
18	HAN Crystal	2%	20%	39%	29%	9%	1%
19	FERNANDES Thea	-	4%	21%	39%	28%	7%
20	VO Bao-Vy	-	13%	38%	36%	12%	1%
21	CASTANEDA Keira	-	3%	21%	39%	28%	8%	1%
22	SUN Emily	3%	19%	37%	30%	10%	1%	-
23	HWANG Alison	-	1%	8%	27%	40%	21%	3%
24	DO Leila	-	24%	43%	26%	6%	-
25	MORADI Raiyan N.	1%	9%	27%	37%	22%	5%
26	ZHUANG Christina	-	2%	29%	45%	21%	3%
27	OTEYZA Camille	-	17%	47%	29%	6%	-
28	HAN Ashley	7%	27%	37%	22%	6%	1%
29	HOBSON Ava	6%	33%	40%	18%	3%	-
30	LUO Annabella	27%	65%	8%	-	-	-
31	DUAN Konnie	-	2%	14%	35%	37%	12%
32	LEE Brielle	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-	-
33	BECKSTEAD Makayla	-	3%	14%	31%	33%	16%	3%
34	MUÃ±OZ Isabella	3%	14%	31%	32%	16%	3%	-
35	CABALU Alaina	6%	28%	39%	22%	5%	-	-
36	LEE Allison	-	15%	40%	34%	10%	1%
37	KO Claire	4%	52%	37%	8%	1%	-
38	OLORVIDA Isabella	58%	34%	7%	1%	-	-
39	UHM JIAH	24%	54%	20%	3%	-	-	-
40	LUH Mia P.	15%	36%	33%	13%	3%	-
41	MORENO Francesca	91%	9%	-	-	-	-
42	MCKAY Teresa	69%	31%	1%	-	-	-
43	WILSON Liya	53%	40%	7%	-	-	-	-
44	CHANG Janelle	95%	5%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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