Fencing Center of Chicago ROC, VET & RJCC - Reg Opens 3/2

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, May 22, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Northbrook, IL - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
2 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
3 NARANJO David E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 26% 3%
3 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
5 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
6 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
7 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
8 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 15% 1%
9 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
10 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 11%
11 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
12 MURZYN III CJ 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
13 SCHARDINE James 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
14 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
15 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
16 AKS Ari 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% -
17 HAN Edward 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
18 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
19 CANNON Logan T. 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
20 HUSTON Theodore 100% 89% 50% 10% 1% - -
21 YU Thomas 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
22 NIELANDER Elliot S. 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% -
23 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
24 AN David 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
25 NORBORG Domingo 100% 65% 19% 2% - - -
26 GUST Asher 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.