April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, April 17, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
5 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 25%
5 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
8 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
9 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
10 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
11 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
12 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 4%
13 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
14 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
15 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
16 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
17 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 4%
18 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
19 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
20 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
21 WOOD Elden S. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
22 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
23 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 4%
24 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
25 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
26 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
27 STONE Ben 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
28 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
29 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
30 BARNETT Adam 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
31 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
32 YANG Ziyi 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
33 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
33 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
35 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 2%
36 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
37 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
38 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
38 LINSKY Matthew 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
40 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
41 JI Cody Walter 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
42 SINGER Carson 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
43 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4%
44 KIM Avery J. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
45 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
46 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
47 MORRILL William 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
48 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
49 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
50 PRICE Jack S. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
50 LAI Adam J. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
52 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
53 ROBERTS Sam 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
54 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
55 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
56 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
57 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
58 YEN Darren 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
59 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
60 WIND Nicky E. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
61 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
62 SO Hananiah 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
63 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
64 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
65 JEAN Noe T. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
66 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 93% 62% 20% 3% -
67 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 99% 87% 47% 12% 1%
68 POPE Nico 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -
69 BARBER Brendan 100% 86% 38% 7% 1% -
70 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
71 SHI Andrew 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
72 BAILEY Asher 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
73 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
74 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
75 LIU kelly 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
76 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
77 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% -
78 BURR Tanner B. 100% 42% 7% - - -
79 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
80 YUN Jake 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
81 REN Richard 100% 31% 4% - - -
82 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
83 LIN John A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
84 CHAN Matthew 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
85 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
86 WOODWARD Connor 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
87 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
88 RAJA Arnav 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
89 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
90 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
91 ZHOU Justin 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
92 BERGER Oliver 100% 97% 74% 33% 6% -
93 XU William 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
94 LI Joshua L. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
95 TONG ZACHARY 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
96 DU Gavin J. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
97 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
98 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.