April NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 18, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
2 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
3 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
5 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
6 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
7 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
8 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 11%
9 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
10 SU Landon 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
11 HOLZ Lucas 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
12 GONG Jerry 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
13 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
14 HU Christopher 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
15 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
16 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
17 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
18 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
19 CRAIG Andrew 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
20 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2%
21 KERCHER Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 2%
22 LIU Vince 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
23 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
24 OH Aster 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
25 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
26 LIU Alexander 100% 69% 23% 4% - -
27 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
28 HRISTOV Kris 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5%
29 WONG Caleb W. 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
30 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6%
31 HUNG Samuel 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
32 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
33 KIM ELIJAH 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
34 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
35 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
36 HO Anson 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
37 CHON Collin 100% 98% 69% 28% 6% -
38 JORGESON Charlie 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
39 SO Preston 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
40 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
41 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1%
42 HERDA Tiger 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
43 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
44 KWON Kenneth 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
45 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
46 MELUL Jonathan 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
47 GUYDOUK Alexey 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
48 LIU Aaron 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
49 MEADE Liam Robert 100% 16% 1% - - -
50 BRIMMER Trey 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
51 LIU Cameron 100% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.