The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

April NAC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Monday, April 19, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
2 LEE REGINA - 2% 13% 43% 42%
3 PROFIS Liora - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
3 YILMAZ Pinar 1% 10% 33% 42% 15%
5 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
6 WANG Ziqi - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
7 PRESMAN Aerin 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
8 WRIGHT Madison 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
9 LIN Ariel 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
10 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
11 WANG Victoria 8% 33% 41% 17% 2%
12 LEE Camilla 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
13 NEELAM Navya 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
14 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
15 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
16 LEE Gloria 1% 9% 28% 38% 22% 3%
17 BEATIE Isabella M. - 2% 14% 36% 39% 9%
18 WEST Amelia 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
19 WU Jessica 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
20 MCCREIGHT Elena 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
21 GUO Luxi 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
22 KROPP Anne 32% 45% 20% 3% -
23 WEST Vivian 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
24 MCQUEEN Morgan 1% 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
25 ZHANG Jane 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
26 ALDRICH Penelope 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
27 LISCUM Vivian 13% 39% 35% 12% 1%
28 JIANG Xinchen 12% 39% 37% 11% 1% -
29 KANASKAR Ila 32% 43% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.