American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, June 13, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
2 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
3 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
3 LIN Elaine 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
5 SMITH Grace L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
6 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
7 TOLBA Salma 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
8 LI Alisha 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
9 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
10 GANSER Yuliya 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
11 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 21%
12 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
13 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
14 HU Chelsea 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
15 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
16 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
17 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
18 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
19 GAO Judy 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
20 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
21 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
22 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
23 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
24 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
25 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
26 POLANICHKA Nicole P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 13%
27 REDDYMEKA Sameera 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
28 YANG Chloe 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
29 DESAI Meera P. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
30 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
31 DE JAGER Celine 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
32 CHANG Ella 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
33 MING Cynthia 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% 1%
34 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
35 LEE Yedda 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
36 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
37 SHU Youshan 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
38 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
39 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
40 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
41 ZENG Katrina 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.