Mission SYC Reg Opens 3/26

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, May 1, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LIU Jaelyn A.	-	-	-	-	5%	33%	62%
2	AMR HOSSNY Sara	-	-	-	1%	12%	46%	41%
3	SEO IRENE Y.	-	-	2%	19%	49%	30%
3	TAN Kaitlyn N.	-	-	-	1%	7%	34%	58%
5	SHA Yi Ling	-	-	2%	15%	37%	35%	11%
6	YANG Iris	-	1%	9%	33%	39%	16%	2%
7	NISSINOFF Alexandra	-	-	2%	15%	46%	37%
8	SHMAY Anastasia	-	4%	23%	45%	24%	4%
9	ZHENG Julie	-	-	1%	9%	32%	46%	12%
10	CHO Rebecca H.	-	-	2%	15%	47%	36%
11	LEE Lavender	-	-	-	2%	18%	50%	30%
12	ORVANANOS Anice	-	-	1%	7%	27%	42%	23%
13	CHEN Chloe I.	-	-	4%	23%	40%	27%	6%
14	CHEN Renee	-	-	5%	24%	40%	25%	6%
15	WANG Zoie Z.	-	-	2%	18%	41%	33%	6%
16	WANG Jasmine	-	6%	38%	42%	12%	1%
17	CHOW Annabelle	-	-	4%	23%	48%	25%
18	PEVZNER Nicole	1%	11%	37%	39%	12%	1%	-
19	CALISE Ella	-	1%	6%	28%	46%	17%	2%
20	SHIM Grace	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	9%	1%
21	MANIKTALA Prisha	-	4%	33%	45%	16%	2%
22	KAPRAN Anastasia	1%	10%	31%	37%	17%	3%	-
23	DAI Zizhuo (Zizi)	18%	43%	31%	7%	1%	-
24	CASCONE Emily	-	-	6%	29%	42%	20%	2%
25	BADLANI Diya	22%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
26	PAULUS Sloane	1%	16%	41%	33%	9%	1%	-
27	CHOW Tessa	1%	16%	48%	28%	6%	-	-
28	WANG Sunny	20%	61%	17%	2%	-	-
29	YANG Emma	10%	36%	39%	13%	2%	-
30	LI Han	10%	44%	36%	9%	1%	-	-
31	FENG Grace	6%	26%	38%	23%	6%	-	-
32	SHENG Katherine	7%	40%	38%	13%	1%	-	-
33	SHAH Ashka	9%	36%	41%	12%	2%	-	-
34	WANG Sabrina	8%	55%	31%	5%	-	-	-
35	DALBERG Violet	80%	19%	1%	-	-	-	-
36	CANO Sofia	48%	41%	10%	1%	-	-	-
37	HAFEZ Tahiyah	30%	46%	21%	3%	-	-
38	FEDER Acadia	68%	30%	2%	-	-	-
39	CHEN Sophie	6%	38%	39%	15%	2%	-	-
40	JIN Amie	68%	28%	4%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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