William and Mary Halloween Open 2021

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 23, 2021 at 9:30 AM

Miller Gymnasium, Student Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GU Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
2 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
3 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
3 GALEMORE Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 42%
5 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
6 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
7 SEMP Iain 100% 99% 84% 45% 10% 1% -
8 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
9 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
10 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 96% 66% 24% 3%
11 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 100% 92% 64% 21%
12 PAQUETTE Emily 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
13 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 10%
14 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 99% 86% 41% 4%
15 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
16 BASHPANOV Timur 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
17 MCKEVITT Caitlin R. 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
18 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
19 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
20 HYMAN Edward 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
21 AZIZI Zahl 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
22 COTTON Cameron W. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
23 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 98% 85% 48% 10% 1%
24 KASPER Lucia 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
25 MORRIS Luke 100% 97% 73% 27% 4% -
26 ROBERTS Zachary 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
28 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
29 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
30 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 99% 86% 50% 12% 1% -
31 STONE Madelyn L. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
32 MOELLER Virginia 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
33 TREADWAY Ella 100% 99% 88% 50% 6% -
35 HAVERSON Civa 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1%
36 TETTERTON Jr Joseph S. 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
37 HAVERSON Rana 100% 88% 54% 17% 2%
38 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 86% 48% 14% 2%
39 WANG Jingyi 100% 98% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
40 BASU Sidhartha 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
41 UHRICH Reese 100% 64% 20% 3% -
42 WATERMAN Andie 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
43 FOX Aiden 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2%
43 GIBSON Karino 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.