William and Mary Halloween Open 2021

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 23, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Miller Gymnasium, Student Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 77% 23%
2 RUBAN Misha 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 BOYLAN Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 11%
3 CLARK Keagan 100% 99% 85% 39% 3% -
5 QI JI 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
6 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 9%
6 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
8 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
9 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
10 OTT Alexander 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
11 MCLAUGHLIN Joseph R. 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
12 OLIVER Isaac 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
13 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
14 CULLEN Troy A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
15 LIN Felix 100% 88% 51% 13% 1% -
16 DREHER Matthew 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
17 YOHN Cort 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
18 SU Ji 100% 98% 68% 15% - -
19 ZESSIN Michael A. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
20 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
21 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
22 NEWTON Alexander 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
23 LE GOUELLEC Isabelle 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
24 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
25 WALKER Terra 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
25 SHARP Elizabeth 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% -
27 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% -
28 LEE Matthew 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
29 MENDEL Derron 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
30 CAYABAN Jessica 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
31 BRACKETT Cassandra 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.