6th Annual Orange & Blue Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
2 JIANG Yangying (Amanda) 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
3 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
5 GRAJALES Nestor L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 57% 16%
6 TANT Kenneth (Kenny) J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
7 PROVATAS Eustratios 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
8 NAMPON Spenser R. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
9 STORER Alex 100% 100% 95% 65% 22% 3% -
10 DONDERIS Hannah E. 100% 100% 91% 49% 12% 1%
11 SAADO Cesar 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
12 PELLEGRINO Hank 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
13 WU Velyn 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
14 EXNICIOS Richard M. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
15 GALLUCCI Julianna 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
16 MAINE William 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
17 CASEY Pierce 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
18 EDWARDS Darby 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 14% 2%
19 DAFFRON Quintin 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
20 CAMPBELL Ruby 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
21 THOMAS Truly A. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
22 PACILIO Jacob 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
23 CAMPBELL Case 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
24 DAFFRON Reese 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
25 DASILVA Mia 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
26 HOGG J.C. 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
28 IRVIN Ethan 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
29 GEIGER Emma 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
29 CHOWDHURY Arman 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
29 PICKENS Grace 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
32 CHEN Kevin 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.