6th Annual Orange & Blue Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 76% 14%
3 GORIUNOV Ivan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 BRETON Jayden 100% 99% 83% 44% 13% 1%
5 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
6 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 90% 56% 18% 2%
7 GROSSE Michael 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2%
7 PROVATAS Eustratios 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 8%
9 MARIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
10 THAYER Bryce 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
11 DINKINS Shuayb 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
12 LANGENDERFER Braeden 100% 100% 88% 42% 7% -
13 SAN JUAN Carlos 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
14 HANDBERG Paul 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
15 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
16 MESSICK Matthew 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
17 JONES Tyler 100% 98% 71% 29% 5% < 1%
18 FREEMAN Zachary 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
20 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 28%
21 DUPREE Thomas 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
22 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
23 LEE Yat Ching 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
24 FREY Wayne N. 100% 100% 94% 61% 14% 1%
25 PACILIO Jacob 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
26 KOSSMANN Alexander 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
27 ROMERO KURI Celeste 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
28 GRANDA-MUSA Lucas F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
29 TAUBMAN Micah 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
30 LEADBETTER Gordon 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 4%
31 DINKINS Adam 100% 94% 64% 23% 3% -
32 SANDERS Charlotte 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
33 RUETSCHI Benjamin 100% 98% 38% 6% - -
34 MIA Raj 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
35 SANCHEZ Carlos 100% 99% 89% 54% 16% 2% -
36 COVERT Benjamin 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
37 RILEY Grace 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
38 WOLF Christopher 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
39 CASTO Daniel 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
40 MIHALIK Alva 100% 98% 83% 44% 7% -
41 TAYLOR Saryn 100% 19% 2% - - -
42 WILFORD Madigan 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% - -
43 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
44 DE SOLO Elizabeth 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.