December NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Friday, December 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
2 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 78% 38%
3 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 24%
3 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
5 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
8 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
9 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
10 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 6%
11 WU Amelia 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
12 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
13 CHORNIY Kateryna 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
14 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
15 GU Sarah 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
16 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
17 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 55%
18 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
19 DI TELLA Isabel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 6%
20 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
21 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 3%
22 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
23 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
24 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
24 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
26 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
27 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
28 XIAO Ruien 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
29 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
30 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
31 MAO Amy 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
32 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
33 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
34 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
35 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
36 LU Junyao 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
37 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
38 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
39 DESAI Meera P. 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
40 WEISS Talia L. 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1%
41 MYLER AnneMarie 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
42 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
43 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 27%
44 HU Grace 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9% -
45 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
46 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
47 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
48 WANG anne 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
49 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 18% 1%
50 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
51 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
52 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
53 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 99% 89% 65% 31% 8% 1%
54 DYNER Karina 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
55 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
56 BEI Karen 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
57 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
57 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
59 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
60 WANG Nora 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
61 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
62 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
63 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8% 1%
64 XU Grace (XinYi) 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
65 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
66 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
67 WITTE Vera 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
68 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
69 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
70 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
71 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 10%
72 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
73 HENRY Asha S. 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
74 AHUJA Arianna 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
75 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
76 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 88% 52% 18% 4% - -
77 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
78 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
79 MCLANE Lauren 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
80 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
81 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
82 CHEN Lefu 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
83 MAZUR Yeva 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
84 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
84 LIN Waiyuk 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
86 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
87 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
87 LIN Elaine 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
89 REID Anousheh 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
89 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
91 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
92 SAAL Anna 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
93 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
94 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 3%
95 HUELLAS-BRUSKIEWICZ Marie-Rose R. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
96 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
97 LOMBARD Ella 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
98 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
99 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
100 NING Emma 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
101 ROBERTSON Lily 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
102 YU Nicole J. 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
103 LEE kyungmin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
103 LEE Olive 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
105 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
106 LEE Yedda 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
107 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
107 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
109 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
110 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 8%
111 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
112 YANG Alisa 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
113 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
114 REID Sobia 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1% -
114 WEBER Nora 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
114 YAO Melinda 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
117 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
118 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
119 FURMAN Maria 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
120 NEMETH Katherine 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
121 KALE Anika A. 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
121 MING Cynthia 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
123 ASHER Valerie 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
124 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1% -
125 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
126 BELAOUSSOFF Kira 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
127 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1%
128 WU Fan 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
129 SMUK Daria A. 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
130 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
131 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
132 LONADIER Keira 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
133 LI Alisha 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
134 KIM Zoe L. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
135 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
135 ZENG Katrina 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
137 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
137 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
139 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
140 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
141 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
141 BARON Sabina 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
143 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
144 ZAFFT Sharrie A. 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
145 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
146 SCHULTZ Michelle M. 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 4% -
147 PEELER Julia 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
148 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
149 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
149 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 83% 47% 15% 3% - -
151 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
152 YIN Julia 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
153 ELSTON Sophia 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
154 BOTNER Olivia 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
155 SHEN Stephanie 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
156 GAO Judy 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.