December NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, December 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
2 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
5 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
6 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
7 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
8 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
9 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
9 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
11 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
12 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
13 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
14 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
15 XI Shining 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
16 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
17 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
18 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
19 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
20 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
21 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
22 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 13%
23 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
24 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11%
25 KIM Marley I. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
26 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
27 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
28 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
29 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
30 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
31 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
32 LEE Hannah 100% 98% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
33 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
34 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
35 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
36 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
37 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
38 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
38 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
40 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
41 SADIK HANA 100% 100% 95% 60% 17% 2%
42 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
43 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
44 KATZ Anat 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
45 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
46 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
46 CHIANG Emily 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
48 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 4%
49 CHEN Jane 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
50 LU Elaine 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
51 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 34% 4%
52 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
53 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
54 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
55 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
56 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
57 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
58 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
59 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
60 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 10%
61 YUAN Greta 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
62 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10% -
63 BILILIES Sophia 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
64 NEIBART Fiona 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
65 WHANG Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
66 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
67 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
68 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
69 KER Grace 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
70 PENG Florella 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
71 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
72 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
73 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
74 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3%
74 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
76 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
77 LEE Sophia 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
78 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 92% 60% 14%
79 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 22%
80 LEVITIS Danielle 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
81 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
82 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6% -
83 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
84 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
85 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
86 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
87 GRAFF Sophie 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
88 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
88 KHAN Alissa 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
90 GHAYALOD reya 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
91 WU Helen 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
92 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
93 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
94 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
95 YU Zhiang 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
96 NGUYEN Ella 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
97 LU Yi Lin 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
98 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
99 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 95% 62% 19% 2%
100 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 92% 56% 17% 2% -
101 CHEN Ashley 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
102 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
103 NAYAK Indra 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
104 DANK Dina 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
105 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
106 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
107 WEI Vivian W. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
107 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
109 XU Ellen 100% 100% 97% 80% 48% 16% 2%
110 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
111 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
111 ZENG Megan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
113 LIU Sophie 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
114 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
114 XIAO julie 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
116 SU Emma 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
116 WANG Jianning 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
118 SO Catelyn 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
119 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
120 CHEN Xinyan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
121 KUANG TongFei 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
122 MCKEE Ainsley 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
123 SADOVA Olga 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
124 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
125 HE Lizbeth 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% -
126 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
127 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
128 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
129 FAN Grace 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
130 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 93% 32% 4% - -
131 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
132 BENTOLILA Thalia 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
133 LU Amy 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
134 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
135 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
136 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
137 JENKINS Scotland 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
138 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
139 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
139 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
141 EVANS Madelynn 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
142 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 100% 28% 3% - - - -
142 LI Angela 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
144 HUANG MADELINE 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
145 YANG Lea 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
146 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 94% 64% 25% 4% -
147 BOURGEOIS audreane 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
148 MORAN Rhea 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
149 HUNG Anna 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
150 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
151 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
151 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
153 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
154 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
155 SHI Julia 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
156 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
157 BAWA Anahat 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
157 SCHICK Veronica 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
159 KOKAL Genevieve 100% 13% - - - -
160 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.