December NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, December 10, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
2 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7%
3 WANG Charles 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
5 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
6 XU William 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
7 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
8 POPE Nico 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
9 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
10 TANN Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
11 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
12 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
13 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
14 NYANTEE-ZEIGER Koan 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
15 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
16 WONG Ryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
17 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
18 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
19 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
20 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 1%
21 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
22 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
23 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
24 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
25 HAN Edward 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
26 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
27 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
28 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
29 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
30 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
31 BARRETO Elliott 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
32 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
33 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
34 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
35 HO Kaden M. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
36 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
37 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
38 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
39 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
40 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
41 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
42 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
43 LEE Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
44 HOLZ William A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
45 CHEN Leo 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
46 LUO George F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
47 REN James 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
48 MORALES Jonathan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
49 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
50 KROON Lucas 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
51 OH Triton 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
52 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
53 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
54 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
55 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
55 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
57 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
58 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
59 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
60 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
61 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
62 SCHERER Max 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
63 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
64 PENG Bryan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% -
65 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
66 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
67 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
68 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
69 GUZZO Vito 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
70 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
71 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
72 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
73 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
74 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
75 WANG Andy 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
76 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
77 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
78 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
79 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3%
80 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
81 CHEN Evan P. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
81 ZENG Noah 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
83 YOU Jaden 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
84 PANDEY Neil 100% 97% 72% 33% 7% 1%
85 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
86 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
87 HUANG Connor 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
88 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
89 PAN Alex 100% 92% 49% 13% 1% -
90 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
91 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
92 HONG Steven 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
93 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
94 GOLD Carter 100% 98% 65% 21% 3% - -
95 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
96 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
97 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
98 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
99 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 1%
100 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 3%
101 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
102 DEKA Tanush 100% 95% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
103 LU Caleb Q. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
104 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
105 LEONARD Charles 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
106 FLOT Tai A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
107 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
108 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
109 MARGULIES William 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
110 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
111 BEITEL Noah 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
112 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
113 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
113 RAJAN Advait 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
115 COLE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
116 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
117 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
118 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
119 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
120 DEPEW Spencer 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
121 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
122 XU Andrew 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
123 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
124 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
125 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 4%
126 GINSBERG jordan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
127 SCHARDINE James 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
128 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
129 HUANG Tom 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
130 MCCLUNG Gavin 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
131 MOULTON Ian 100% 98% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
132 WANG Robert 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
133 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
134 VAUGHN Jason 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
135 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
136 WU Wilmund 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
137 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
138 PERRON Robert 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
139 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
140 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
141 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
142 STERN Tobias 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
143 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% 1%
143 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
145 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
146 MAY Griffin M. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
147 KOVACH Jonah F. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
147 BARRETO Andree 100% 32% 4% - - -
149 TENG MATTHEW 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
150 CHAN Aidan Tuan Nho 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
151 KUMAR Sachit 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
152 LIM William J. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
153 POSY Daniel 100% 98% 71% 25% 4% - -
154 SHI Jeremy 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
155 WEIL Asher D. 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
155 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 93% 59% 22% 4% - -
157 BEAULAC Stephane 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
158 HUROWITZ Max 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
159 WU Richard 100% 79% 40% 13% 2% - -
160 CHAN Aidan 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
161 BROU Inkosi 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
162 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
163 LAGROU Emerson R. 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
164 LIGH Checed 100% 76% 25% 3% - - -
165 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
166 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 40% 8% 1% - -
166 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
168 WALKE Devin 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
169 TSAI Michael T. 100% 35% 5% - - -
170 NIETO Titus P. 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
171 ENGEL Peter 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
172 AN David 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
173 WILKERSON Jude 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
174 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
175 SINGH Angadh 100% 86% 42% 11% 1% -
176 PARADIS Emmit 100% 13% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.