December NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, December 11, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
2 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
5 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
6 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
7 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
8 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
9 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
11 MAZUR Yeva 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
12 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
13 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
14 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
15 NING Emma 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
16 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
17 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 31% 6%
18 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
19 HU Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 12%
20 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
21 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
22 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
23 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
24 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
25 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
26 KIM Zoe L. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
26 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
28 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
29 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
30 MAO Amy 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 4%
31 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
32 LU Shiqi 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
33 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
34 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
35 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
36 LEE yat ching 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
37 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
38 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
38 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
40 DYNER Karina 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
41 WEISS Talia L. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
41 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 100% 91% 52% 14% 1%
43 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
44 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
45 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
46 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 2%
47 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
48 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 17%
48 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
50 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -
51 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
52 WANG Nora 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
53 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
53 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
55 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
56 SHEN Stephanie 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
57 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 11%
58 WU Amelia 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
59 MYLER AnneMarie 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
60 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 11%
61 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
62 GAO Judy 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
63 LIN Waiyuk 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
64 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1%
65 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
66 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 47% 5%
67 WEBER Nora 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
68 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
69 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
70 LU Junyao 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
71 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
72 LU Samantha R. 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
73 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
73 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10% -
75 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
76 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
77 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
77 KALE Anika A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
79 MING Cynthia 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
80 SUN Renee R. 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
81 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
82 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
83 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
84 XU Grace (XinYi) 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
85 WITTE Vera 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
86 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
86 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
88 FAN Yun Cian 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
89 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 96% 59% 18% 3% - -
90 XIAO Ruien 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
91 YAO Melinda 100% 98% 83% 46% 11% -
92 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
93 BEI Karen 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
94 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12%
95 MUN Brianna K. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
96 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
97 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
98 KORKIN Alice 100% 99% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
99 YOU Emily 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1% -
100 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
101 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
102 YAO KATHARINE 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
102 LONADIER Keira 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
104 LEE Olive 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
105 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
106 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
107 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
108 REID Sobia 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
109 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
110 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
111 POIRIER Ariane 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
112 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
113 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
114 YIN Julia 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
114 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
116 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
117 AHUJA Arianna 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 1%
118 ANDERSON Claire 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
119 ZHU Serene M. 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
120 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 3% -
121 YU Nicole J. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
122 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
123 NEMETH Katherine 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
124 LEE Olivia 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
125 ZENG Katrina 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% - -
126 LIN Elaine 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% -
127 GUJJA Misha 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
128 AI Amy 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
129 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
129 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
131 FENG Kelly L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
132 CHANG Ella 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
133 SANTA MARIA Luisa F. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
134 TRAN Helena 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
135 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
136 CHEN Jingyun 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
137 ANDREEV Victoria 100% 77% 33% 6% - - -
138 SMUK Daria A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
139 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
140 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 87% 41% 10% 1% - -
141 WU Fan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
141 FAN Elizabeth 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% - -
143 KIM Erika S. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
144 PORADA Yarena 100% 75% 18% 2% - - -
145 YOON Katherine 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
146 KIZILBASH Zara 100% 97% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
147 NAKA Karen 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
148 HONG Elaine 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
149 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
150 LI Alisha 100% 74% 30% 6% - -
151 MIINEA Elena 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
152 ZHAO Ivy 100% 63% 14% 1% - -
153 LIN Ashley 100% 76% 30% 6% - -
154 PEELER Julia 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
155 PARKS Eliana 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
156 LIU Nicole 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
157 ROBERTSON Lily 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
158 LEE kyungmin 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
159 POPA Catherine 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
160 BARON Sabina 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
161 WANG Angelina 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
162 MACEY Hadley 100% 70% 12% 1% - - -
162 FABBRO Izabela 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
164 LIANG Yuanfeng 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
165 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
165 BELAOUSSOFF Kira 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
167 SAAL Anna 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
168 GUO Amanda 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
169 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 93% 45% 10% 1% - -
169 GILKES Sanojah Ruby 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
171 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
172 XIE Fiona 100% 26% 3% - - - -
173 MOK Chloe R. 100% 86% 37% 7% 1% - -
173 FURMAN Maria 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
175 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
176 KIM Jayna 100% 94% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
177 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 91% 55% 15% 2% -
178 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
179 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
179 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
181 LI Yuhe 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
182 HICKS Grace 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% -
182 LAJOUX Debora 100% 73% 27% 5% - -
184 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
185 DONDISCH Andrea 100% 22% 2% - - - -
186 LEWIS Rachel 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
187 YANG Tiffany 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
188 RAMANATHAN Eesha 100% 39% 5% - - - -
189 KUMAR Anusha 100% 43% 5% - - - -
190 NGUYEN Julia 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.