December NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Sunday, December 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
2 KIM Rachael 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
3 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
5 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 15%
6 RIVANO Camilla 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
7 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
8 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
9 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
10 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
11 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
12 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
13 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
14 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
15 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
16 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
17 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
18 KIM Katherine 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
19 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
20 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
21 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
22 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
23 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
24 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
25 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
26 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
27 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
28 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
29 PARK Rowan M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
30 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
31 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 3%
32 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
33 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
34 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
35 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2%
36 TSAI Xiao-Qing E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
37 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
38 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
39 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
40 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
41 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
42 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
43 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
44 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
45 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
46 OH Erin H. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
47 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
48 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
49 LI Rachel Y. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
50 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
51 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
51 LUU Shanon K. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
51 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
54 LEVIN Eve A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
55 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
56 BREKER Anika 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
57 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
58 BATRA Chaahat 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
59 CHEN Allison V. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
60 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
60 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
62 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
63 XUE Alanna L. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
64 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
65 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
66 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
67 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 4%
68 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
69 HALL Velma 100% 100% 94% 76% 42% 13% 2%
70 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
71 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
72 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 93% 68% 26% 2%
73 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
74 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
75 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
75 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
77 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
78 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
79 DING Abigail 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
80 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
81 SUN Ruoxi 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
82 KOROL Neta 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
83 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
84 HE Fenghuan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% -
85 YU Lauren C. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
86 LUO ZIWEN 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
87 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
88 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
89 CHO Taylor S. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
90 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
91 KONG Olivia 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
91 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
93 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
94 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
95 WANG Ellen 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
96 PERLMAN Talia 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
97 CHO Cameron S. 100% 99% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
98 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
99 LOCKE Savannah 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
100 GU EMILY 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
101 CHO Gracie L. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
102 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
103 SEAL Julie T. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
104 TALAVERA Daena 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
105 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
105 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
107 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
108 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
109 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
110 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
111 MI Anning 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
112 HUANG NATALIE 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
113 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 2%
114 PENG Amber L. 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% -
115 HE Xiangxin 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% -
116 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
117 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
118 WU Julianna Y. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
119 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
120 WANDJI Anais 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
121 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
122 LEE Ariana 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
123 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
124 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
124 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
126 BOLES Sophia 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
127 XIANG Emma 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
128 FERNANDES Thea 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
129 DU Hannah 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
130 YEH Marissa E. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
131 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
132 GUO Kaitlyn S. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
133 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
134 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
135 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
136 WONG Sophia M. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
137 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
138 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
138 WEBB Ella 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
140 KOROL Dana 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
141 YU Jaime L. 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.