Jersey Clash RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Monroe 33 Tennis, Basketball and Sports - Monroe Township, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHIARELLI Valentina	-	-	-	3%	17%	42%	37%
2	HALPERIN Elizabeth H.	1%	10%	26%	33%	22%	7%	1%
3	BUSH Bethany	-	4%	18%	37%	31%	9%
3	GUGALA Hanna	-	1%	8%	30%	41%	19%
5	LIU Yifei	-	5%	22%	38%	28%	7%
6	CHAN Madeleine V.	-	4%	19%	37%	31%	10%
7	YANNOPOULOS Pompie	3%	18%	35%	31%	12%	2%
8	IANNUZZI Lucy	2%	16%	36%	32%	13%	2%
9	MERCHANT Aishwarya	-	-	2%	14%	40%	44%
10	FUNG Iris	-	1%	7%	27%	42%	24%
11	BORGUETA Madison	1%	8%	29%	39%	21%	3%
12	LEOU Korina	-	4%	21%	38%	29%	8%
13	DAMBAL Sasha	-	-	4%	17%	36%	33%	9%
14	LIANG Claire	19%	38%	29%	11%	2%	-
15	HU Anna	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	12%
16	CASTELO Soleil	1%	13%	36%	36%	12%	1%
17	BERRIOS Catalina	-	4%	16%	33%	34%	13%
18	MERMEGAS Olivia	1%	10%	30%	36%	20%	4%
19	DUTA Lyra	3%	19%	35%	30%	11%	1%
20	CHAVAN Arya	15%	42%	32%	10%	1%	-
21	GONG Joy	6%	28%	38%	22%	5%	1%	-
22	XIONG Alina	1%	12%	33%	34%	15%	3%	-
23	MANSPERGER Gia	4%	25%	39%	25%	7%	1%
24	FABRICANT Kioka R.	-	9%	30%	38%	20%	3%
25	VINOKUR Anita	1%	6%	24%	38%	26%	6%
26	BUSH Divina	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%
27	REDA Sophie	1%	6%	21%	36%	29%	9%
28	SOND Isha	1%	8%	30%	41%	18%	2%
29	PEREIRA Izumi	62%	33%	5%	-	-	-
30	VAISH Anusha	1%	10%	28%	36%	20%	5%	-
31	HO Sophia	51%	37%	10%	1%	-	-
31	JUILLERAT Elina	1%	11%	33%	38%	15%	2%
33	ZHANG Ashley	43%	40%	14%	2%	-	-
34	MARABELLA Grace	42%	42%	14%	2%	-	-
35	CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia	1%	11%	33%	37%	16%	2%
36	HUANG Pierra	18%	38%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
37	HILDENBERGER Lyla	4%	33%	41%	18%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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