Jersey Clash RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Monroe 33 Tennis, Basketball and Sports - Monroe Township, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	TSUI Natalie	-	-	-	4%	17%	40%	38%
2	JOHNSON Dagny L.	-	-	2%	14%	40%	43%
3	HAMBAZAZA Liisa	-	1%	8%	27%	38%	22%	4%
3	MCKEE Brynnley	-	2%	13%	33%	35%	15%	2%
5	ANTHONY Alexia B.	-	-	-	5%	21%	43%	31%
6	CHIARELLI Valentina	-	1%	8%	26%	41%	24%
7	YOUNG Audrey	1%	8%	28%	38%	22%	3%
8	DAI Olivia	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
9	HE Lizbeth	-	1%	7%	25%	42%	25%
10	FESTA Carina	-	2%	13%	37%	36%	12%
11	MAKLIN Sofia	-	1%	9%	33%	41%	16%
12	SPEARS Mya B	-	-	4%	18%	37%	32%	9%
13	CHOU Zoe	2%	13%	29%	32%	18%	5%	-
14	NATH Trisha	-	1%	6%	27%	43%	23%
15	GOMERMAN Sophia	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
16	YOUNG Charlotte G.	-	2%	14%	34%	36%	13%
17	CHOU Amy R.	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	4%
18	ALTIRS Kate	1%	8%	28%	38%	21%	3%
19	FLATT Sophia	2%	15%	34%	34%	14%	2%
20	JEONG Katie	-	3%	14%	33%	35%	14%
21	HUANG Rachael	1%	7%	24%	36%	25%	6%
22	SO Catelyn	-	4%	17%	35%	33%	11%
23	BERRIOS Catalina	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
24	GUVEN Coco	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
25	LOO Kaitlyn	4%	21%	36%	28%	10%	1%
26	YAN Lena	2%	12%	28%	33%	20%	6%	1%
27	BAINS Nandini	32%	44%	19%	4%	-	-
28	ZHANG Sophie	-	2%	11%	27%	35%	21%	4%
29	MONTORIO Lily M.	13%	34%	34%	15%	3%	-
30	KHOST Maeve	6%	30%	42%	18%	3%	-
31	ZHANG Emily	26%	42%	25%	7%	1%	-
32	PROBASCO Leila	16%	41%	32%	9%	1%	-
33	LI Alexis	15%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
34	LIM Alexa J.	6%	23%	34%	25%	10%	2%	-
35	RAY Auyona	11%	31%	34%	18%	5%	1%	-
36	MUND Ruth	2%	11%	28%	33%	20%	6%	1%
37	LAURI Keira	40%	41%	16%	3%	-	-
38	CHO-SAYEGH Emily	10%	33%	36%	17%	4%	-
39	CHAVAN Arya	38%	43%	16%	3%	-	-	-
40	BORGUETA Madison	12%	40%	35%	12%	2%	-	-
41	CHAN Madeleine V.	5%	25%	40%	23%	6%	1%	-
42	HU Anna	7%	31%	38%	19%	4%	-
43	KALINICHENKO Yekaterina	20%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-
44	LIU Yifei	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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