The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Fencing Center RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 4:30 PM

San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MOLLINIER Anais - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
2 WANG Victoria 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
3 WANG Ziqi - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
3 GUO Luxi 3% 22% 44% 27% 4% < 1%
5 LEE Camilla 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% < 1%
6 LIN Ariel 1% 14% 35% 35% 14% 2%
7 PENG Marie 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
8 CAMAMA Tessa 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
9 KWON Genevie 4% 24% 42% 24% 6% -
10 BLANCO Ariia - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
11 BURICEA Ada - - 3% 28% 47% 22%
12 WANG Jessie 1% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1%
13 GARINEY tanvi 2% 25% 42% 25% 6% -
14 SIMHADRI Sanjana 44% 42% 12% 2% - -
15 LEE Emma - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
16 WU Jalyn - 5% 27% 41% 23% 4%
17 ZHUANG Lauren - 2% 12% 39% 46% 1%
18 HABEK Sophia - - < 1% 3% 27% 69%
19 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 4% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
20 DAVIS Violet - 1% 10% 32% 42% 16%
21 SCHOR Elisabeth 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
22 PATTERSON Liliya 67% 28% 4% - - -
23 XU Jessica - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
24 KANDALA Aanya 31% 42% 21% 5% - -
25 YUNG Bethany - 6% 29% 43% 20% 3%
26 RADOV Una 75% 23% 2% - - -
27 DING Calista 11% 34% 36% 16% 2% -
28 MA Isabelle < 1% 5% 23% 38% 26% 6%
29 TEACHWORTH Samantha 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
30 COX Allison 5% 27% 46% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.