Turkey Day Slay at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 11:00 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GRIMSLEY Devin M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
2 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
3 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
3 MANAUGH Guy 100% 99% 91% 56% 14% 1%
5 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
6 KESLER Thomas P. 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
7 KRAJ Pawel 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
8 COCHRAN Jeremy T. 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
9 SCHWERIN Willy 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 9%
10 RUSCONI Jane 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
11 BUTLER Joel 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
12 MARTIN Maximilian 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
13 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1%
14 PERVEZ Zaynab 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
15 DEMANGONE Reed 100% 99% 87% 46% 10% 1%
16 CRAFT David M. 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
17 HIGGINS John 100% 90% 37% 6% - -
18 ROVELSTAD Sebastian 100% 69% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.