Windy City RJCC RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Berto Center / also known as Felicity School - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
2 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
3 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 2%
3 CHEN Bowen 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
5 FRANGER Max 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
6 MITCHAM Beaudrae 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
7 GRAVES Lawson 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
8 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
9 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
10 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
11 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% -
12 DESLOOVER Beau 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
13 WATTANAKIT Tawin 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
14 SWENSON Diego 100% 100% 95% 66% 25% 4%
14 MOUSTAFA Faris 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
16 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% -
17 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
17 HONG Daniel 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.