November NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HEATHCOCK Colin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
2 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
3 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
3 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 12%
5 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
6 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
7 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
8 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
9 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
10 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
11 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
12 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
12 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
14 LIN John A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 5%
15 SO Hananiah 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
16 KEEFE Duncan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
17 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
18 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
19 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
20 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
20 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
22 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
23 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
24 TANN Justin 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
25 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
26 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
27 BAILEY Asher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
28 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
28 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
30 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 9%
31 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
32 LIU David J. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
33 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
34 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 6%
35 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
36 POPE Nico 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
37 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
38 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4%
39 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
40 NG Jonathan H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
41 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
42 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
43 NOBLE Daniel 100% 98% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
44 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
44 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
46 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
47 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
48 RAJA Arnav 100% 99% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
49 DU Gavin J. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
50 LI Joshua L. 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%
51 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
52 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
53 BECKER Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
54 TANG Alex Y. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
55 BERGER Oliver 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
56 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
57 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
58 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
59 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
60 LEE Justin 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1%
61 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
62 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
63 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
64 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
65 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
66 KIM Andrew H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
67 LU Timothy 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
68 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
69 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
70 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
71 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
72 YANG Richard 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
73 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
74 MENTA Varun 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
75 YOU Jaden 100% 52% 10% 1% < 1% - -
76 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 3%
77 XU Luke 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
78 STONE Jack V. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
79 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
79 CHEN Oscar 100% 88% 46% 12% 2% - -
81 BULL Anderson 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
82 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
83 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
84 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
85 NARANJO David E. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
86 ALKIN Isaac 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
87 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
88 BRUSIE Christopher R. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
89 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
90 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
91 BARBER William S. 100% 99% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
92 CHEN Lucas B. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
93 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
94 PARKER Riley D. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
95 SAMMI Mukund 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
96 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
97 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
98 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
98 GAO Ethan 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
100 LE Hayden 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
101 ELIN Adam E. 100% 92% 49% 13% 2% - -
102 CONINE Tanner C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
103 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
104 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
105 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
106 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
107 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 78% 38% 11% 1% - -
108 ZHOU Miles 100% 78% 29% 4% - - -
110 WU Wilmund 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
111 LI Minghan 100% 84% 36% 8% 1% - -
112 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
112 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
112 KOTOV Leonid 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
115 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
116 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 94% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
117 KESSENS Keith J. 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
118 HAN William 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
120 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
120 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 3% -
120 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
123 GUZZO Vito 100% 65% 22% 3% - - -
124 BONSELL Vance 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
125 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
126 LEITH Jack 100% 35% 5% - - - -
127 GOERING Ashton H. 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
128 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
129 CHIEN Winston L. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
131 LEE Christopher M. 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
132 VAUGHN Dylan A. 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
133 LIN Andrew 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
134 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
135 LEE Conner M. 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
136 RYAN Will 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
137 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% - -
137 BOWMAN James 100% 26% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.