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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LIU Joy Zhaoyi	-	-	-	-	1%	16%	82%
2	SUN Chloe	-	1%	6%	27%	47%	19%
3	CHEW Alexis T.	-	-	1%	11%	42%	46%
3	MANIKTALA Prisha	-	2%	13%	35%	38%	13%
5	FUNG Emma	-	-	-	1%	17%	81%
6	CHEN Chloe I.	-	-	4%	22%	44%	30%
7	HOBSON Ava	-	-	3%	19%	44%	34%
8	SUN Emily	1%	9%	31%	38%	18%	3%
9	PENG Serena	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	3%
10	LEE Allison	4%	19%	34%	29%	12%	2%
11	KO Claire	-	3%	20%	41%	30%	7%
12	WANG Celine S.	-	3%	15%	36%	35%	10%	1%
13	CHANG Elizabeth	-	-	1%	5%	19%	41%	34%
14	DO Leila	1%	8%	30%	39%	19%	3%
15	FUNG Vera	1%	9%	26%	35%	23%	6%
16	REN Kayley	3%	21%	41%	28%	6%	-
17	OLSHANSKY Eliora S.	-	2%	12%	29%	34%	19%	3%
18	SAIFEE Lamya	1%	8%	30%	42%	19%	1%
19	ZHENG Zoe	1%	8%	25%	36%	24%	6%	-
20	YANG Audrey	1%	11%	35%	38%	13%	1%
21	AYUPOVA AMELIYA	-	3%	13%	31%	37%	17%
22	OH Ceana	-	3%	19%	43%	32%	3%
23	HO Addison	3%	15%	32%	31%	15%	3%	-
24	LUH Mia P.	-	1%	11%	35%	40%	13%
25	DANIELYANTS Gabriela	6%	34%	41%	17%	3%	-
26	SHUM Maya	3%	15%	32%	32%	15%	3%
27	ZHANG Ivy	4%	27%	42%	22%	5%	-
28	HSU Kaylin	15%	35%	32%	14%	3%	-
29	ZHONG Aleena	2%	15%	33%	32%	14%	2%	-
30	BARTON Nanea	30%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-
31	MCKAY Teresa	16%	46%	31%	8%	1%	-
32	LENK Sophie	34%	45%	18%	3%	-	-
33	MONAT Jennifer	32%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-	-
34	DESAI Esha	2%	17%	41%	31%	8%	-
35	CZAPLA Dominika	42%	42%	14%	2%	-	-
36	KHAIRUL ANWAR Rania Zara	39%	43%	15%	2%	-	-
37	MENDOZA TALAMANTES Aleydiz	3%	17%	36%	31%	11%	2%	-
38	MENG Annabel	5%	23%	36%	25%	9%	1%	-
39	XING Celeste	-	5%	22%	40%	27%	6%	-
40	UHM JIAH	15%	42%	32%	9%	1%	-
41	PENG Charlotte	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	6%	1%
42	SWANSON Alexa	24%	47%	24%	5%	-	-
43	KANDL-ZHANG Lea	4%	20%	35%	29%	11%	2%
44	CHANG Janelle	59%	34%	7%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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