November NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, November 12, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Edith (Tori) V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
3 YUN Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 TIMOFEYEV Daniella 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
5 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
6 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
7 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
8 JENKINS Morgan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
9 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
10 AVAKIAN Mikaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 34%
11 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
12 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
13 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
14 WARD Reghan E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
15 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 6%
16 LIANG Megan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
17 KIM Catherine 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
18 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27% 4%
19 WHANG Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
20 MOSS Zara J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
21 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 35%
21 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
23 DI PERNA Chiara I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
24 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
25 CHAN Casey 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
26 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 10%
27 THEODORE Maria A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
28 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
29 HIRSCH Sydney R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
30 LU Vivian Y. 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 2%
31 TONG Kunling 100% 99% 90% 61% 27% 6% 1%
32 TURNER Zoe Y. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
33 MOYA Keona L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
34 HUNTER Nina B. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
35 HANADARI-LEVY Amit 100% 99% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
35 PINCUS Lucy Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
35 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 14%
38 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
39 TZOU Alexandra 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
40 WOZNIAK Kelli 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
41 KATZ Anat 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
42 WHITE Amber L. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
43 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
43 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
45 LI Anna M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
46 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
47 WEBER Juliana I. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
48 KIM Zoe 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
49 FAHRI Monir J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
50 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
51 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
52 BERMAN Stella 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
53 BEALE Zoe M. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% -
54 SULLIVAN Caroline E. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% -
55 XU Ellen 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
55 WU JiaQi 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
57 DRAGON Rainer 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
57 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% 1%
59 ROH Rachel E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
60 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2% -
61 SEHIC Cassandra 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
62 SUNGA Arabella Krystienne M. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
63 HILADO Sarah 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 2%
64 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
65 KOZAK Sonja A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
66 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
67 BECKER Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
68 SONG Jenny 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
69 HOFFMAN Ilsa L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
70 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
71 LIMB Madeline I. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
72 PRIESTLEY Catherine (Cate) C. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
73 NGUYEN Thea 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
74 WITEK Sophie B. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
75 ALLUM Isabel (Izzy) T. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
76 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
77 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
77 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
79 WALTER Zsofia R. 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
80 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
81 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
82 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
82 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
84 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
86 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
87 KALRA Siya L. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
88 SHEA Erin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 5%
89 KOBERSTEIN Maggie 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
89 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
91 KIM Emily 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
92 CANSECO Laura K. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
93 LIU Rachel 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
94 MANUBAG Amanda R. 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
95 KIM Sujin 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
96 REDDY Shreya 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
96 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
98 CANNON Sophia E. 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
99 LIN Audrey J. 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
100 YAP Madeline 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
101 YANG Kaitlyn H. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
102 MORAN Emma 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
102 THROWER Lola S. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
102 HAN Jeanette X. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
105 MARSEE Samantha 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
106 ABOUDAHER Janna A. 100% 93% 49% 13% 2% - -
107 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
108 CHEN Erica 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
109 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
109 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
109 GULATI Ria 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
112 YONG Annika A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 8%
113 VALADEZ Emily T. 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
114 DARINGA Arianna 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
115 SZETO Chloe 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
116 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
117 PARKER Allegra H. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
118 ZHUANG Sophia 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
119 PINCUS Emma Y. 100% 74% 21% 2% - - -
119 KONG Isabel 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 2%
121 SOMFELEAN Clara M. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
122 HOOGENDOORN Levi 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
123 LAMOTHE Laurie-Ann 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
124 VAN ATTA Grace Y. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
125 CASHMAN Natalie 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
126 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
127 DODRILL Brooke 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
128 CHAN Audrey 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
129 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
130 WU Zoe 100% 38% 6% 1% - -
131 WOLFSON Elizabeth 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
132 FLOREZ Melissa 100% 100% 97% 80% 35% 5% -
132 BAWA Sanya 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
134 SHEALY Maggie 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
135 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
135 CREUSOT Julia D. 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
137 CHAN Leanne 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
138 SCHMITT Alana P. 100% 93% 60% 17% 2% - -
139 SHAY-TANNAS Zoe 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
140 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
141 HONE Katarina G. 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
142 BIENVENU Camille C. 100% 97% 64% 23% 4% -
143 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% -
144 CHEEMA Sophia 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
145 TANG Catherine H. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
146 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
146 WU Erica L. 100% 97% 80% 40% 9% -
148 OXENSTIERNA Carolina 100% 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
149 BOURGEOIS audreane 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
150 LIM Isabel K. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
151 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
152 WANG Caroline Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
152 JULIEN Michelle 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
154 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 97% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
155 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
156 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
156 BENTOLILA Thalia 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
158 BENTOLILA Yedida 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
159 NOBREGA Carolina S. 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2% -
161 CHEN Jacqueline 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
162 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
163 SUN Alyssa 100% 96% 67% 21% 3% - -
164 YURT Leyla 100% 97% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
165 CHING Sapphira S. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
166 ZHANG Judy 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
167 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
168 CHEN Jane 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
169 PATEL Riya 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
170 LIN Zhiyin 100% 31% 4% - - - -
171 MILLER Mattea K. 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
171 BAE EMMELINE 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
173 FALKSON Esther 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
175 BALMASEDA Sabrina F. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
176 D'ORAZIO Isabella 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
178 MURPHY Niamh 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
179 CONGIUSTA Aelex 100% 9% - - - - -
179 CUNNINGHAM Erin 100% 9% - - - - -
181 LIGH Karis 100% 34% 4% - - - -
182 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) 100% 94% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
182 LIN Selena 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.