Dick Berry 90th Birthday Invitational 2021

Senior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 3:00 PM

Former Cost Plus World Market Building - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MORRIS Shaina 100% 100% 99% 83% 38%
2 TSANG JAFFE Avi 100% 100% 93% 59% 14%
3 MONTOYA Amy 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 HEPLER Sarah 100% 96% 71% 31% 6%
5 CHANG Celine 100% 100% 97% 76% 29% 4%
6 MADRID Betsy 100% 86% 47% 13% 1%
7 RYAN Minhuey 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
8 OBENCHAIN Janel 100% 98% 78% 38% 8%
9 DING Grace 100% 94% 65% 24% 3%
10 BLOOMER Suzanne 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
11 BHATT Anisha 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
13 FERRER Alison 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 3%
14 CHIEM Karen 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
15 LYNCH Kristin 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
16 RADICH Lori 100% 57% 16% 2% -
17 LUO Xiao Ran 100% 97% 74% 34% 6%
19 STANICA Teodora 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
20 FRANEK Lisa 100% 95% 57% 13% 1%
21 MEWES Katie 100% 65% 20% 3% -
22 SIMARD Sherrol 100% 25% 2% - -
23 RYAN Jessica 100% 95% 47% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.