The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Daugherty Youth Cup SYC, RJCC, ROC & VET - Reg Opens 1/4

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 8:00 AM

St Louis, MO - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Jaelyn A. - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
2 KOSTELNY Alexis - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
3 GOOR Viviene E. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
3 NISSINOFF Alexandra - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
5 SENIC Adeline - - - 6% 33% 61%
6 NAMGALAURI Mariam - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
7 ZHAO Sophie L. - 2% 15% 35% 36% 12%
8 COOPER Piper W. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
9 YANG Lingting - 3% 16% 40% 35% 7%
10 BIODROWICZ Julia 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
11 LEE Fiona E. 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
12 MEI Sarah 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
13 HOANG Mai 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
14 LI Sophia M. - 5% 22% 42% 27% 4%
15 SHENG Chuxi 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
16 HAYES Alyssa R. 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
17 BRANDON Fionnoula 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
18 CASTANEDA Keira - 2% 15% 36% 36% 11%
19 SOLDATOVA Maria 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
20 HOANG Anh 13% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
21 LENZ Zoe N. 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
22 PAULUS Isabella 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
23 HOBSON Ava 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
24 YAN Noelle 7% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
25 SKOURLETOS Maria 19% 42% 31% 8% 1% -
26 PARK Leah 44% 41% 14% 2% - -
27 CHOI Kailyn 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
28 KIM April 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
29 PAULUS Sloane 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
30 EVELAND Zoe 43% 41% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.