North Texas Roundup SYC/RCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, September 4, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	CHERNIS Zoe C.	-	1%	8%	30%	45%	16%
2	ZHANG Victoria R.	-	7%	27%	43%	23%
3	CALDERA Lexi I.	-	1%	10%	32%	42%	15%
3	SKOURLETOS Angelina	3%	16%	34%	31%	14%	2%
5	NEMETH Katherine	1%	7%	25%	38%	24%	6%
6	DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia	-	-	1%	10%	41%	48%
7	ORTEGA Ivanna S.	-	-	3%	19%	44%	34%
8	ELSTON Sophia	-	2%	13%	33%	36%	15%
9	LE Jennifer	2%	19%	40%	31%	8%
10	MEHROTRA Anya	-	-	2%	14%	42%	42%
11	SENYUVA Su	-	5%	19%	36%	30%	10%
12	SHIV Avni	2%	14%	34%	35%	13%	1%
12	BECKMAN Ana	-	14%	40%	34%	11%	1%
14	YAO KATHARINE	-	3%	19%	41%	31%	7%
15	QIAN Irene	4%	23%	40%	27%	6%	-
16	KORKIN Alice	2%	17%	38%	32%	9%	1%
17	SUN Renee R.	-	2%	14%	37%	36%	11%
18	HUANG Lanlan	9%	31%	37%	19%	4%	-
19	LEE REGINA	5%	25%	40%	25%	5%
20	GEVA Eliana	2%	39%	42%	15%	2%	-
21	YAO Melinda	2%	17%	38%	33%	10%
22	MOHEBI Neeka	40%	42%	15%	2%	-	-
23	MIRZA Annoshae	20%	41%	30%	9%	1%	-
24	HSIU Elizabeth	13%	42%	33%	11%	2%	-
24	PROKOPEAS Grace	8%	32%	39%	18%	3%	-
26	YERIAN Ayda	12%	35%	36%	15%	2%	-
27	CHUANG Ramona	51%	38%	10%	1%	-
28	CHERUKURI Nina	16%	39%	32%	11%	2%	-
29	IYER Ahana	91%	9%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.