July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Women's Saber

Thursday, July 22, 2021 at 11:15 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
2 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
3 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
6 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
7 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
8 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
9 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
10 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
11 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
12 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
13 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
14 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
15 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
16 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
17 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
18 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
19 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
20 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
21 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
22 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
23 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
24 XI Shining 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
25 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
26 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
27 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
28 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
29 LIN Audrey J. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
30 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
30 KER Grace 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
32 DUCKETT Madison 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% -
33 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
34 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
35 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 4%
36 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
37 CHANG Emily 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
38 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
39 JUNG Irene 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
40 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
41 MIKA Veronica 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
42 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
43 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
44 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
45 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
46 XU Ellen 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
46 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
48 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
49 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
50 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
51 LU Amy 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
52 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
53 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
54 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
55 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
56 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
56 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
58 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
59 LACSON Sarah 100% 99% 86% 55% 19% 3%
60 WU Erica L. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
61 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
62 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
63 BUCHMANN Vivien 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
64 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
65 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
66 NI Sharon 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
67 FANG Victoria W. 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
68 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
69 WHANG Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 15%
70 CHAN Audrey 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
71 STONE Hava S. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
72 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
73 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
74 CHIANG Emily 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
75 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
76 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
77 XIAO julie 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
78 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
78 BILILIES Sophia 100% 99% 67% 24% 4% - -
80 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
81 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
82 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
83 CHEN Xinyan 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
84 KHAN Alissa 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
85 PAUL Lila 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
86 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
87 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
88 LIAO Siwen 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
89 HURST Kennedy 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
90 LIU Sophie 100% 98% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
90 CHANG Audrey 100% 98% 67% 26% 5% - -
92 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 92% 51% 14% 2% - -
93 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
94 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 93% 40% 8% 1% - -
95 CHEN Athena 100% 24% 2% - - - -
96 NEIBART Fiona 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
97 WEI Vivian W. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
98 LIN Selena 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
99 CHEN Ashley 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
100 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
101 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
102 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
103 GORDON Sarah 100% 51% 9% 1% - - -
104 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% - -
105 LU Elaine 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
106 HUANG MADELINE 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
107 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
108 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
109 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 100% 91% 39% 8% 1% - -
110 KIM Sujin 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
110 HOLMES Emma 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
112 LUKER Sophia 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
113 LIGH Karis 100% 34% 4% - - - -
113 FANG sophie 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
115 WHITESIDES Abigail E. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
115 JENKINS Scotland 100% 76% 24% 4% - - -
115 LIN Grace 100% 14% 1% - - - -
115 YANG Lea 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
119 HU Michelle 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
120 SHANNON Sara 100% 7% - - - - -
121 NEELEY Leilani 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.