July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, July 24, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
2 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
6 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
7 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
8 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
9 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
9 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
11 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
12 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
13 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
14 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
15 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
16 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
17 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
18 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
19 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
20 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
21 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
22 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
23 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
24 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 10%
25 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
26 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 100% 90% 54% 16% 2%
27 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
28 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
29 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
30 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
31 CHEN Allison V. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
32 HE Xiangxin 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
33 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
34 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
35 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
36 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
37 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
37 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
39 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
40 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
40 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
42 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
43 YU Seneca 100% 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
44 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
45 SENIC Adeline 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 1%
46 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
47 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
47 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
49 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
50 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
51 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 8%
52 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
53 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 28%
54 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
55 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
56 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
57 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
58 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
59 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
60 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
61 DING Abigail 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
62 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
63 KONG Olivia 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
64 DU Hannah 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
65 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
66 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
67 LEE Paulina 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
68 SULEIMAN Alena J. 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
69 SULEIMAN Alysa J. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
70 CHO Cameron S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
71 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
72 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
73 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
74 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
75 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
75 LOCKE Savannah 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
77 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% - -
78 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 100% 88% 50% 14% 1%
79 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
80 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
81 MI Anning 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% - -
82 LIN Ashley 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
83 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
84 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
85 PANT Anisha 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
86 CHO Taylor S. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
86 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
88 TAN Clarisse 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
89 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
90 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 96% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
91 XIANG Emma 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
92 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% 1%
93 FU Qihan 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
94 KOROL Dana 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
95 DUAN Konnie 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
96 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 96% 66% 25% 5% - -
97 SHIH Diane 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
98 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
99 WEBB Ella 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
100 WONG Sophia M. 100% 99% 68% 25% 4% -
101 TALAVERA Daena 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
102 HWANG Alison 100% 66% 18% 2% - -
103 WANDJI Anais 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
104 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
105 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
106 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
107 WU Kyra 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
108 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
109 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
109 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
111 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
112 PENG Amber L. 100% 96% 67% 26% 5% - -
113 WHITESIDES Ella K. 100% 36% 5% - - - -
114 WU Julianna Y. 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
114 HUANG NATALIE 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
116 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
117 PRIETO Sofia M. 100% 98% 67% 25% 5% - -
118 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 38% 6% - - - -
119 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 24% 2% - - - -
120 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% - -
121 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
121 KOSLOW Amicie 100% 84% 43% 13% 2% - -
121 CUI Amy 100% 94% 51% 14% 2% - -
124 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 37% 6% - - - -
125 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 8% - - - - -
126 YU Jaime L. 100% 64% 17% 2% - -
127 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
128 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
129 FRANCIS Annette 100% 7% - - - -
130 HWANG Sophia 100% 13% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.